logo
Nova scotia

Fairview-Clayton Park


MLA elect (unofficial): Patricia Arab (LIB)

Latest projection: November 20, 2024
NDP safe

Candidates | Fairview-Clayton Park


Progressive Conservative Nicole Mosher
Liberal Party Patricia Arab
New Democratic Party Lina Hamid

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Fairview-Clayton Park 47% ± 7%▲ NDP 27% ± 6%▼ PC 25% ± 6%▼ LIB LIB 2021 38.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fairview-Clayton Park >99% NDP <1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Fairview-Clayton Park

LIB 25% ± 6% PC 27% ± 6% NDP 47% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Fairview-Clayton Park 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 NDP 44% LIB 27% PC 26% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 NDP 44% LIB 27% PC 26% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 NDP 44% LIB 27% PC 26% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 NDP 46% PC 28% LIB 26% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 NDP 47% PC 27% LIB 25% 2024-11-20

Odds of winning | Fairview-Clayton Park

LIB <1% PC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 NDP >99% LIB <1% PC <1% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 NDP >99% LIB <1% PC <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 NDP >99% LIB <1% PC <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 NDP >99% PC <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 NDP >99% PC <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20

Recent electoral history | Fairview-Clayton Park



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 40.3% 38.5% 25% ± 6% NDP 28.8% 37.1% 47% ± 7% PC 25.9% 22.3% 27% ± 6% GRN 5.0% 2.0% 0% ± 0%