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Nova scotia

Yarmouth


MLA elect (unofficial): Zach Churchill (LIB)

Latest projection: November 20, 2024
Toss up LIB/PC

Candidates | Yarmouth


Progressive Conservative Nick Hilton
Liberal Party Zach Churchill
New Democratic Party Gillian Rowley
Green Party Adam Randall

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Yarmouth 46% ± 7% PC 44% ± 7% LIB 6% ± 3% NDP 4% ± 3% GRN LIB 2021 56.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Yarmouth 66%▲ PC 34%▼ LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Yarmouth

LIB 44% ± 7% PC 46% ± 7% NDP 6% ± 3% GRN 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Yarmouth 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP GRN November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 PC 46% LIB 44% NDP 5% GRN 4% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 PC 46% LIB 44% NDP 5% GRN 4% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 47% LIB 44% NDP 5% GRN 4% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 46% LIB 44% NDP 6% GRN 4% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 46% LIB 44% NDP 6% GRN 4% 2024-11-20

Odds of winning | Yarmouth

LIB 34% PC 66% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 PC 59% LIB 41% NDP <1% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 PC 59% LIB 41% NDP <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 66% LIB 34% NDP <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 61% LIB 39% NDP <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 66% LIB 34% NDP <1% 2024-11-20

Recent electoral history | Yarmouth



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 68.2% 56.3% 44% ± 7% PC 25.5% 37.0% 46% ± 7% NDP 3.1% 4.2% 6% ± 3% GRN 3.3% 2.5% 4% ± 3%