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Nova scotia


Pictou East


MLA: Tim Houston (PC)


Latest projection: March 9, 2024

PC safe
Pictou East 78% ± 5%▲ PC 14% ± 4% LIB 7% ± 3%▼ NDP PC 2021 69.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Pictou East >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Pictou East

LIB 14% ± 4% PC 78% ± 5% NDP 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Pictou East 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP March 9, 2024 2021-07-17 PC 65% LIB 24% NDP 8% 2021-07-17 2021-07-26 PC 68% LIB 20% NDP 9% 2021-07-26 2021-07-30 PC 70% LIB 20% NDP 10% 2021-07-30 2021-08-05 PC 70% LIB 20% NDP 9% 2021-08-05 2021-08-11 PC 70% LIB 19% NDP 10% 2021-08-11 2021-08-16 PC 73% LIB 18% NDP 8% 2021-08-16 2021-08-19 PC 70% LIB 23% NDP 7% 2021-08-19 2022-12-31 PC 74% LIB 17% NDP 9% 2022-12-31 2023-03-09 PC 77% LIB 15% NDP 8% 2023-03-09 2023-09-02 PC 77% LIB 14% NDP 8% 2023-09-02 2024-03-09 PC 78% LIB 14% NDP 7% 2024-03-09

Odds of winning | Pictou East

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP March 9, 2024 2021-07-17 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2021-07-17 2021-07-26 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2021-07-26 2021-07-30 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2021-07-30 2021-08-05 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2021-08-05 2021-08-11 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2021-08-11 2021-08-16 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2021-08-16 2021-08-19 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2021-08-19 2022-12-31 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-31 2023-03-09 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-09 2023-09-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-02 2024-03-09 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-09

Recent electoral history | Pictou East



2017 2021 Proj. PC 73.9% 69.7% 78% ± 5% LIB 18.2% 22.5% 14% ± 4% NDP 7.9% 7.1% 7% ± 3% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%