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Nova scotia


Pictou East


MLA: Tim Houston (PC)


Latest projection: September 2, 2023

PC safe
Pictou East 77% ± 5% 14% ± 4%▼ 8% ± 3% PC 2021 69.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 2, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Pictou East >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | September 2, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Pictou East

LIB 14% ± 4% PC 77% ± 5% NDP 8% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Pictou East 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | Pictou East

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Pictou East



2017 2021 Proj. PC 73.9% 69.7% 77% ± 5% LIB 18.2% 22.5% 14% ± 4% NDP 7.9% 7.1% 8% ± 3% GRN 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%