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Nova scotia

Eastern Shore


MLA elect (unofficial): Kent Smith (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Eastern Shore


Progressive Conservative Kent Smith
Liberal Party Doyle Safire
New Democratic Party Don Carney
Green Party Kevin Conrod

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Eastern Shore 62% ± 0%▲ PC 19% ± 0% LIB 16% ± 0%▼ NDP 3% ± 0% GRN PC 2024 46.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Eastern Shore >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Eastern Shore

LIB 19% ± 0% PC 62% ± 0% NDP 16% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Eastern Shore 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 52% LIB 23% NDP 20% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 52% LIB 23% NDP 20% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 54% LIB 22% NDP 21% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 54% NDP 21% LIB 21% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 54% NDP 21% LIB 21% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 56% NDP 21% LIB 19% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 62% LIB 19% NDP 16% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Eastern Shore

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Eastern Shore



2017 2021 Proj. PC 31.5% 46.1% 62% ± 0% LIB 38.3% 33.8% 19% ± 0% NDP 25.6% 17.4% 16% ± 0% GRN 2.8% 2.7% 3% ± 0%