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Nova scotia

Pictou Centre


MLA elect (unofficial): Danny MacGillivray (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Pictou Centre


Progressive Conservative Danny MacGillivray
Liberal Party Kris MacFarlane
New Democratic Party Mary Stewart

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Pictou Centre 68% ± 0%▼ PC 18% ± 0%▲ LIB 15% ± 0%▲ NDP PC 2024 55.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Pictou Centre >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Pictou Centre

LIB 18% ± 0% PC 68% ± 0% NDP 15% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Pictou Centre 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 64% LIB 20% NDP 14% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 64% LIB 20% NDP 14% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 67% LIB 19% NDP 14% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 67% LIB 18% NDP 15% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 68% LIB 18% NDP 14% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 71% LIB 15% NDP 14% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 68% LIB 18% NDP 15% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Pictou Centre

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Pictou Centre



2017 2021 Proj. PC 52.4% 55.8% 68% ± 0% LIB 28.1% 30.9% 18% ± 0% NDP 19.5% 11.7% 15% ± 0% GRN 0.0% 1.6% 0% ± 0%