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Nova scotia

New Democratic Party





Last update: November 27, 2024

LeaderClaudia Chender
Popular vote in 202120.9%
Current vote projection22.2% ± 0.0%
Current seat projection9 ± 0

Vote projection | November 27, 2024

22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Probabilities % NDP

Seat projection | November 27, 2024

9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 9 Max. 9 9 Probabilities % NDP

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | New Democratic Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Dartmouth South NDP safe >99%
2. Halifax Needham NDP safe >99%
3. Dartmouth North NDP safe >99%
4. Halifax Chebucto NDP safe >99%
5. Halifax Citadel-Sable Island NDP safe >99%
6. Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier NDP likely 96%
7. Fairview-Clayton Park NDP likely 95%
8. Halifax Armdale NDP leaning 80%
9. Sackville-Cobequid Toss up PC/NDP 62%
10. Clayton Park West Toss up PC/NDP 34%
11. Cole Harbour PC leaning 17%
12. Sackville-Uniake PC likely 7%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Dartmouth South NDP safe
2. Halifax Needham NDP safe
3. Dartmouth North NDP safe
4. Halifax Chebucto NDP safe
5. Halifax Citadel-Sable Island NDP safe
6. Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier NDP likely
7. Fairview-Clayton Park NDP likely
8. Halifax Armdale NDP leaning
9. Sackville-Cobequid Toss up PC/NDP
10. Clayton Park West Toss up PC/NDP
11. Cole Harbour PC leaning
12. Sackville-Uniake PC likely