New Democratic Party
Last update: March 9, 2024
| Leader | Claudia Chender |
| Popular vote in 2021 | 20.9% |
| Current vote projection | 22.6% ± 2.5% |
| Current seat projection | 8 ± 1 |
Vote projection | March 9, 2024
Seat projection | March 9, 2024
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | New Democratic Party
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Halifax Needham | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 2. | Dartmouth South | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 3. | Halifax Chebucto | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 4. | Dartmouth North | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 5. | Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 6. | Halifax Citadel-Sable Island | |
NDP safe | >99% |
| 7. | Fairview-Clayton Park |  |
NDP likely | 99% |
| 8. | Halifax Armdale | |
NDP likely | 96% |
| 9. | Glace Bay-Dominion |  |
PC likely | 10% |
| 10. | Cole Harbour | |
PC likely | 7% |
| 11. | Sydney-Membertou | |
LIB likely | 4% |
| 12. | Clayton Park West | |
Toss up LIB/PC | 2% |
| Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Halifax Needham | NDP safe |
| 2. | Dartmouth South | NDP safe |
| 3. | Halifax Chebucto | NDP safe |
| 4. | Dartmouth North | NDP safe |
| 5. | Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier | NDP safe |
| 6. | Halifax Citadel-Sable Island | NDP safe |
| 7. | Fairview-Clayton Park | NDP likely |
| 8. | Halifax Armdale | NDP likely |
| 9. | Glace Bay-Dominion | PC likely |
| 10. | Cole Harbour | PC likely |
| 11. | Sydney-Membertou | LIB likely |
| 12. | Clayton Park West | Toss up LIB/PC |