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Nova scotia

Lunenburg


MLA elect (unofficial): Susan Corkum-Greek (PC)

Latest projection: November 20, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Lunenburg


Progressive Conservative Susan Corkum-Greek
Liberal Party Melissa Duggan
New Democratic Party Nick Jennery
Green Party Frank Fawson

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Lunenburg 51% ± 7% PC 26% ± 5%▲ NDP 21% ± 5% LIB 3% ± 2% GRN PC 2021 42.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lunenburg >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Lunenburg

LIB 21% ± 5% PC 51% ± 7% NDP 26% ± 5% GRN 3% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Lunenburg 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP GRN November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 PC 49% NDP 24% LIB 23% GRN 3% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 PC 49% NDP 24% LIB 23% GRN 3% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 50% NDP 25% LIB 23% GRN 3% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 51% NDP 25% LIB 21% GRN 3% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 51% NDP 26% LIB 21% GRN 3% 2024-11-20

Odds of winning | Lunenburg

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20

Recent electoral history | Lunenburg



2017 2021 Proj. PC 30.9% 42.1% 51% ± 7% LIB 39.5% 34.7% 21% ± 5% NDP 29.6% 20.6% 26% ± 5% GRN 0.0% 2.0% 3% ± 2%