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Nova scotia

Victoria-The Lakes


MLA elect (unofficial): Dianne Timmins (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Victoria-The Lakes


Progressive Conservative Dianne Timmins
Liberal Party Stephen MacAskill
New Democratic Party Samuel Stirling
Green Party Adrianna MacKinnon
Independent Stemer MacLeod

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Victoria-The Lakes 66% ± 0% PC 22% ± 0%▲ LIB 9% ± 0%▼ NDP PC 2024 54.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Victoria-The Lakes >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Victoria-The Lakes

LIB 22% ± 0% PC 66% ± 0% NDP 9% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Victoria-The Lakes 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 63% LIB 23% NDP 11% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 63% LIB 22% NDP 11% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 64% LIB 21% NDP 12% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 64% LIB 20% NDP 12% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 64% LIB 20% NDP 12% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 66% LIB 18% NDP 12% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 66% LIB 22% NDP 9% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Victoria-The Lakes

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Victoria-The Lakes



2017 2021 Proj. PC 59.6% 54.4% 66% ± 0% LIB 26.8% 34.2% 22% ± 0% NDP 7.4% 9.6% 9% ± 0% IND 0.0% 1.8% 2% ± 0% GRN 3.6% 0.0% 2% ± 0%