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Nova scotia

Hants West


MLA elect (unofficial): Melissa Sheehy-Richard (PC)

Latest projection: November 20, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Hants West


Progressive Conservative Melissa Sheehy-Richard
Liberal Party Brian Casey
New Democratic Party Simon Greenough
Independent James Omand

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Hants West 56% ± 7% PC 27% ± 5% LIB 15% ± 4%▲ NDP 3% ± 2% IND PC 2021 43.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Hants West >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Hants West

LIB 27% ± 5% PC 56% ± 7% NDP 15% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Hants West 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 PC 53% LIB 29% NDP 14% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 PC 53% LIB 29% NDP 14% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 53% LIB 28% NDP 14% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 56% LIB 27% NDP 14% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 56% LIB 27% NDP 15% 2024-11-20

Odds of winning | Hants West

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-08-01 2024-09-01 2024-10-01 2024-11-01 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 20, 2024 2024-10-31 PC >99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-31 2024-11-01 PC >99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20

Recent electoral history | Hants West



2017 2021 Proj. PC 28.9% 43.1% 56% ± 7% LIB 54.8% 41.6% 27% ± 5% NDP 12.4% 11.0% 15% ± 4% GRN 3.0% 3.0% 0% ± 0% IND 0.0% 0.0% 3% ± 2%