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Recent electoral history | Hants West


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 54% ± 7% 28.9% 43.1% 52.6% LIB 24% ± 6% 54.8% 41.6% 32.4% NDP 16% ± 5% 12.4% 11.0% 13.8% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2%

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338Canada Hants West projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Hants West 47% 61% 54% ± 7% PC 18% 30% 24% ± 6% LIB 12% 21% 16% ± 5% NDP PC 2024 52.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Hants West >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Hants West

LIB 24% ± 6% PC 54% ± 7% NDP 16% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Hants West 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 54% LIB 30% NDP 14% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 55% LIB 28% NDP 15% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 54% LIB 28% NDP 16% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 54% LIB 24% NDP 16% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Hants West

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC >99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2026-02-18