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Recent electoral history | Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 66% ± 7% 32.5% 47.8% 67.8% NDP 20% ± 6% 43.3% 16.6% 17.7% LIB 12% ± 5% 24.3% 30.2% 14.4%

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338Canada Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River 59% 73% 66% ± 7% PC 14% 25% 20% ± 6% NDP 8% 17% 12% ± 5% LIB PC 2024 67.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River

LIB 12% ± 5% PC 66% ± 7% NDP 20% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 69% NDP 18% LIB 13% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 69% NDP 18% LIB 12% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 67% NDP 19% LIB 12% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 66% NDP 20% LIB 12% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2026-02-18