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Nova scotia

Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River


MLA elect (unofficial): Dave Ritcey (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River


Progressive Conservative Dave Ritcey
Liberal Party Frank Johnston
New Democratic Party Cailen Pygott

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River 68% ± 0%▲ PC 18% ± 0%▼ NDP 14% ± 0%▼ LIB PC 2024 47.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River

LIB 14% ± 0% PC 68% ± 0% NDP 18% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 54% LIB 19% NDP 19% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 54% LIB 19% NDP 19% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 60% NDP 21% LIB 19% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 60% NDP 22% LIB 19% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 61% NDP 21% LIB 18% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 64% NDP 20% LIB 16% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 68% NDP 18% LIB 14% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River



2017 2021 Proj. PC 32.5% 47.8% 68% ± 0% LIB 24.3% 30.2% 14% ± 0% NDP 43.3% 16.6% 18% ± 0% GRN 0.0% 5.3% 0% ± 0%