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Nova scotia

Halifax Armdale


MLA elect (unofficial): Rod Wilson (NDP)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
NDP leaning

Candidates | Halifax Armdale


Progressive Conservative Craig Myra
Liberal Party Ali Duale
New Democratic Party Rod Wilson

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Halifax Armdale 39% ± 0%▼ NDP 36% ± 0%▲ PC 25% ± 0%▼ LIB LIB 2024 40.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Halifax Armdale 80%▼ NDP 20%▲ PC <1%▼ LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Halifax Armdale

LIB 25% ± 0% PC 36% ± 0% NDP 39% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Halifax Armdale 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 NDP 41% LIB 28% PC 26% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 NDP 41% LIB 28% PC 26% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 NDP 44% PC 28% LIB 28% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 NDP 41% LIB 31% PC 28% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 NDP 41% LIB 30% PC 29% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 NDP 40% LIB 30% PC 30% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 NDP 39% PC 36% LIB 25% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Halifax Armdale

LIB <1% PC 20% NDP 80% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 NDP 99% LIB 1% PC <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 NDP 99% LIB 1% PC <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 NDP >99% PC <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 NDP 96% LIB 3% PC 1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 NDP 96% LIB 3% PC 1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 NDP 92% LIB 5% PC 3% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 NDP 80% PC 20% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Halifax Armdale



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 43.4% 40.2% 25% ± 0% NDP 33.0% 34.2% 39% ± 0% PC 18.6% 22.1% 36% ± 0% GRN 3.9% 2.6% 0% ± 0% IND 0.0% 0.8% 0% ± 0%