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Nova scotia


Halifax Armdale


MLA: Ali Duale (LIB)


Latest projection: March 9, 2024

NDP likely
Halifax Armdale 38% ± 6%▼ NDP 29% ± 5%▲ PC 28% ± 5%▲ LIB 4% ± 2% GRN LIB 2021 40.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Halifax Armdale 96%▼ NDP 3%▲ PC 1%▲ LIB Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Halifax Armdale

LIB 28% ± 5% PC 29% ± 5% NDP 38% ± 6% GRN 4% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Halifax Armdale 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP GRN

Odds of winning | Halifax Armdale

LIB 1% PC 3% NDP 96% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Halifax Armdale



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 43.4% 40.2% 28% ± 5% NDP 33.0% 34.2% 38% ± 6% PC 18.6% 22.1% 29% ± 5% GRN 3.9% 2.6% 4% ± 2% IND 0.0% 0.8% 1% ± 1%