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Nova scotia


Halifax Armdale


MLA: Ali Duale (LIB)


Latest projection: September 2, 2023

NDP likely
Halifax Armdale 41% ± 6% 27% ± 5%▲ 27% ± 5%▼ 4% ± 2% LIB 2021 40.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 2, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Halifax Armdale >99%▲ <1% <1%▼ Odds of winning | September 2, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Halifax Armdale

LIB 27% ± 5% PC 27% ± 5% NDP 41% ± 6% GRN 4% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Halifax Armdale 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP GRN

Odds of winning | Halifax Armdale

LIB <1% PC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Halifax Armdale



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 43.4% 40.2% 27% ± 5% NDP 33.0% 34.2% 41% ± 6% PC 18.6% 22.1% 27% ± 5% GRN 3.9% 2.6% 4% ± 2% IND 0.0% 0.8% 1% ± 1%