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Recent electoral history | Halifax Atlantic


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 46% ± 8% 17.1% 19.6% 58.1% NDP 36% ± 7% 22.7% 22.8% 28.3% LIB 15% ± 5% 55.5% 55.2% 13.6%

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338Canada Halifax Atlantic projection

Latest update: June 28, 2026

Halifax Atlantic 39% 54% 46% ± 8% PC 29% 44% 36% ± 7% NDP 10% 20% 15% ± 5% LIB PC 2024 58.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Halifax Atlantic 92%▼ PC 8%▲ NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | June 28, 2026
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Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada Nova Scotia Projection | Halifax Atlantic

Odds of winning | Halifax Atlantic