logo
Nova scotia


Halifax Atlantic


MLA: Brendan Maguire (PC)


Latest projection: March 9, 2024

LIB likely
Halifax Atlantic 42% ± 6%▲ LIB 28% ± 5%▲ PC 26% ± 5%▼ NDP 4% ± 2% GRN LIB 2021 55.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Halifax Atlantic >99%▲ LIB <1% PC <1%▼ NDP Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Halifax Atlantic

LIB 42% ± 6% PC 28% ± 5% NDP 26% ± 5% GRN 4% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Halifax Atlantic 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP GRN

Odds of winning | Halifax Atlantic

LIB >99% PC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Halifax Atlantic



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 55.5% 55.2% 42% ± 6% NDP 22.7% 22.8% 26% ± 5% PC 17.1% 19.6% 28% ± 5% GRN 4.7% 2.4% 4% ± 2%