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Nova scotia

Halifax Atlantic


MLA elect (unofficial): Brendan Maguire (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Halifax Atlantic


Progressive Conservative Brendan Maguire
Liberal Party Phil Chisholm
New Democratic Party Cathy Cervin
Green Party Gadfly Stratton

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Halifax Atlantic 58% ± 0%▲ PC 28% ± 0%▼ NDP 14% ± 0%▼ LIB LIB 2024 55.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Halifax Atlantic >99%▲ PC <1%▼ NDP <1%▼ LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Halifax Atlantic

LIB 14% ± 0% PC 58% ± 0% NDP 28% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Halifax Atlantic 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 LIB 43% NDP 28% PC 25% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 LIB 43% NDP 28% PC 25% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 LIB 40% NDP 29% PC 26% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 LIB 40% NDP 30% PC 26% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 LIB 33% PC 32% NDP 32% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 33% LIB 33% NDP 31% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 58% NDP 28% LIB 14% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Halifax Atlantic

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 LIB >99% NDP <1% PC <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 LIB 99% NDP <1% PC <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 LIB 98% NDP 1% PC <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 LIB 96% NDP 4% PC <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 LIB 43% PC 33% NDP 25% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 40% LIB 39% NDP 20% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Halifax Atlantic



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 55.5% 55.2% 14% ± 0% NDP 22.7% 22.8% 28% ± 0% PC 17.1% 19.6% 58% ± 0% GRN 4.7% 2.4% 0% ± 0%