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Recent electoral history | Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 65% ± 7% 50.5% 55.1% 67.6% NDP 21% ± 6% 22.7% 19.3% 18.6% LIB 12% ± 4% 26.8% 25.6% 13.8%

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338Canada Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley 58% 72% 65% ± 7% PC 15% 26% 21% ± 6% NDP 7% 16% 12% ± 4% LIB PC 2024 67.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley

LIB 12% ± 4% PC 65% ± 7% NDP 21% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 68% NDP 19% LIB 13% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 68% NDP 19% LIB 11% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 67% NDP 20% LIB 12% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 65% NDP 21% LIB 12% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2026-02-18