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Nova scotia

Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley


MLA elect (unofficial): Tom Taggart (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley


Progressive Conservative Tom Taggart
Liberal Party Dustin Rekunyk
New Democratic Party Christina McCarron
Green Party Jillian Foster

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley 68% ± 0%▲ PC 19% ± 0%▼ NDP 14% ± 0%▲ LIB PC 2024 55.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley

LIB 14% ± 0% PC 68% ± 0% NDP 19% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 61% NDP 22% LIB 16% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 61% NDP 22% LIB 16% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 62% NDP 22% LIB 15% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 62% NDP 23% LIB 14% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 63% NDP 22% LIB 14% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 66% NDP 21% LIB 12% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 68% NDP 19% LIB 14% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley



2017 2021 Proj. PC 50.5% 55.1% 68% ± 0% LIB 26.8% 25.6% 14% ± 0% NDP 22.7% 19.3% 19% ± 0%