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Nova scotia

Kings South


MLA elect (unofficial): Julie Vanexan (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Kings South


Progressive Conservative Julie Vanexan
Liberal Party Mike Hamm
New Democratic Party Ramona Jennex
Green Party Sheila G. Richardson

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Kings South 42% ± 0%▼ PC 29% ± 0%▲ NDP 28% ± 0% LIB LIB 2024 44.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kings South >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Kings South

LIB 28% ± 0% PC 42% ± 0% NDP 29% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Kings South 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 40% LIB 31% NDP 24% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 41% LIB 30% NDP 24% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 42% LIB 28% NDP 25% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 42% LIB 28% NDP 26% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 44% LIB 27% NDP 25% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 44% LIB 28% NDP 25% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 42% NDP 29% LIB 28% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Kings South

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 95% LIB 4% NDP <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 97% LIB 3% NDP <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Kings South



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 46.5% 44.1% 28% ± 0% PC 26.8% 33.2% 42% ± 0% NDP 21.8% 19.7% 29% ± 0% GRN 3.8% 3.0% 2% ± 0%