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Recent electoral history | Kings South


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 41% ± 7% 26.8% 33.2% 41.6% NDP 32% ± 7% 21.8% 19.7% 28.9% LIB 21% ± 5% 46.5% 44.1% 27.6% GRN 4% ± 3% 3.8% 3.0% 1.8%

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338Canada Kings South projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Kings South 34% 48% 41% ± 7% PC 26% 39% 32% ± 7% NDP 15% 26% 21% ± 5% LIB 1% 7% 4% ± 3% GRN PC 2024 41.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kings South 91%▼ PC 9%▲ NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Kings South

LIB 21% ± 5% PC 41% ± 7% NDP 32% ± 7% GRN 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Kings South 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP GRN February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 43% NDP 30% LIB 25% GRN 2% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 43% NDP 30% LIB 23% GRN 4% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 41% NDP 32% LIB 23% GRN 4% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 41% NDP 32% LIB 21% GRN 4% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Kings South

LIB <1% PC 91% NDP 9% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 99% NDP 1% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 98% NDP 2% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 94% NDP 6% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 91% NDP 9% LIB <1% 2026-02-18