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Nova scotia

Halifax, 22 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2021)
7 3 1 0 11 6
5 2 0 0 7 5
0 1 1 2 4 11
Projected ahead Last election (2021)
11 6
7 5
4 11




Projection | Halifax


Latest update: March 9, 2024
Halifax 37% ± 2% 33% ± 2% 27% ± 2% 4% ± 1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Halifax, 22 districts 11 [10-13] 7 [7-7] 4 [2-4] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | March 9, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Halifax

LIB 27% ± 2% PC 37% ± 2% NDP 33% ± 2% GRN 4% ± 1% Popular vote projection % | Halifax 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP GRN

Seat projection | Halifax

LIB 4 [2-4] PC 11 [10-13] NDP 7 [7-7] Seat projection | Halifax 20 15 10 5 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

List of electoral districts


Latest update: March 9, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
004 Bedford Basin Toss up LIB/PC
005 Bedford South PC likely
010 Clayton Park West Toss up LIB/PC
013 Cole Harbour PC likely
014 Cole Harbour-Dartmouth PC leaning
017 Dartmouth East PC safe
018 Dartmouth North NDP safe
019 Dartmouth South NDP safe
021 Eastern Passage PC safe
022 Eastern Shore PC safe
023 Fairview-Clayton Park NDP likely
026 Halifax Armdale NDP likely
027 Halifax Atlantic LIB likely
028 Halifax Chebucto NDP safe
029 Halifax Citadel-Sable Island NDP safe
030 Halifax Needham NDP safe
031 Hammonds Plains-Lucasville PC likely
044 Preston PC safe
047 Sackville-Cobequid PC safe
048 Sackville-Uniake PC safe
051 Timberlea-Prospect LIB leaning
054 Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank PC safe
Electoral district
004 Bedford Basin
005 Bedford South
010 Clayton Park West
013 Cole Harbour
014 Cole Harbour-Dartmouth
017 Dartmouth East
018 Dartmouth North
019 Dartmouth South
021 Eastern Passage
022 Eastern Shore
023 Fairview-Clayton Park
026 Halifax Armdale
027 Halifax Atlantic
028 Halifax Chebucto
029 Halifax Citadel-Sable Island
030 Halifax Needham
031 Hammonds Plains-Lucasville
044 Preston
047 Sackville-Cobequid
048 Sackville-Uniake
051 Timberlea-Prospect
054 Waverley-Fall River-Beaverbank