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Nova scotia

Argyle


MLA elect (unofficial): Colton LeBlanc (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Argyle


Progressive Conservative Colton LeBlanc
Liberal Party Lorelei Murphy
New Democratic Party Lauren Skabar
Green Party Lynette Amirault

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Argyle 86% ± 0%▼ PC 11% ± 0%▲ LIB PC 2024 82.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Argyle >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Argyle

LIB 11% ± 0% PC 86% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Argyle 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 87% LIB 9% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 87% LIB 9% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 87% LIB 8% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 88% LIB 8% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 88% LIB 8% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 90% LIB 7% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 86% LIB 11% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Argyle

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Argyle



2017 2021 Proj. PC 66.3% 82.4% 86% ± 0% LIB 30.1% 14.3% 11% ± 0% GRN 0.0% 1.9% 2% ± 0% NDP 3.6% 1.4% 2% ± 0%