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Nova scotia

Lunenburg West


MLA elect (unofficial): Becky Druhan (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Lunenburg West


Progressive Conservative Becky Druhan
Liberal Party Jonathan Crouse
New Democratic Party Nicholas Piovesan
Green Party Mitchell Thomas-Langford

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Lunenburg West 56% ± 0%▼ PC 31% ± 0%▲ LIB 11% ± 0%▼ NDP PC 2024 44.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lunenburg West >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Lunenburg West

LIB 31% ± 0% PC 56% ± 0% NDP 11% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Lunenburg West 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 52% LIB 23% NDP 22% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 52% LIB 23% NDP 22% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 53% NDP 23% LIB 21% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 53% NDP 23% LIB 21% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 55% NDP 23% LIB 20% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 58% NDP 22% LIB 17% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 56% LIB 31% NDP 11% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Lunenburg West

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Lunenburg West



2017 2021 Proj. PC 27.7% 44.4% 56% ± 0% LIB 47.1% 34.9% 31% ± 0% NDP 20.7% 18.7% 11% ± 0% GRN 4.4% 2.0% 2% ± 0%