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Recent electoral history | Lunenburg West


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 58% ± 7% 27.7% 44.4% 56.3% LIB 22% ± 6% 47.1% 34.9% 30.5% NDP 13% ± 4% 20.7% 18.7% 11.2% GRN 4% ± 3% 4.4% 2.0% 1.9%

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338Canada Lunenburg West projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Lunenburg West 50% 65% 58% ± 7% PC 16% 28% 22% ± 6% LIB 9% 17% 13% ± 4% NDP 1% 7% 4% ± 3% GRN PC 2024 56.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Lunenburg West >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Lunenburg West

LIB 22% ± 6% PC 58% ± 7% NDP 13% ± 4% GRN 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Lunenburg West 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP GRN February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 58% LIB 28% NDP 12% GRN 3% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 59% LIB 26% NDP 12% GRN 4% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 57% LIB 26% NDP 13% GRN 4% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 58% LIB 22% NDP 13% GRN 4% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Lunenburg West

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2026-02-18