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Nova scotia


Kings North


MLA: John Lohr (PC)


Latest projection: March 9, 2024

PC safe
Kings North 54% ± 6%▲ PC 22% ± 4%▼ NDP 18% ± 4% LIB 6% ± 2% GRN PC 2021 44.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Kings North >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Kings North

LIB 18% ± 4% PC 54% ± 6% NDP 22% ± 4% GRN 6% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Kings North 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP GRN March 9, 2024 2021-07-17 PC 40% LIB 39% NDP 15% GRN 6% 2021-07-17 2021-07-26 PC 42% LIB 36% NDP 18% GRN 4% 2021-07-26 2021-07-30 PC 41% LIB 36% NDP 18% GRN 4% 2021-07-30 2021-08-05 PC 42% LIB 36% NDP 17% GRN 4% 2021-08-05 2021-08-11 PC 42% LIB 35% NDP 19% GRN 4% 2021-08-11 2021-08-16 PC 46% LIB 33% NDP 17% GRN 4% 2021-08-16 2021-08-19 PC 45% LIB 29% NDP 21% GRN 4% 2021-08-19 2022-12-31 PC 47% NDP 26% LIB 22% GRN 6% 2022-12-31 2023-03-09 PC 50% NDP 24% LIB 20% GRN 6% 2023-03-09 2023-09-02 PC 52% NDP 24% LIB 18% GRN 6% 2023-09-02 2024-03-09 PC 54% NDP 22% LIB 18% GRN 6% 2024-03-09

Odds of winning | Kings North

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP March 9, 2024 2021-07-17 PC 59% LIB 41% NDP <1% 2021-07-17 2021-07-26 PC 78% LIB 22% NDP <1% 2021-07-26 2021-07-30 PC 79% LIB 21% NDP <1% 2021-07-30 2021-08-05 PC 82% LIB 18% NDP <1% 2021-08-05 2021-08-11 PC 85% LIB 15% NDP <1% 2021-08-11 2021-08-16 PC 97% LIB 3% NDP <1% 2021-08-16 2021-08-19 PC >99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2021-08-19 2022-12-31 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2022-12-31 2023-03-09 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2023-03-09 2023-09-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2023-09-02 2024-03-09 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-03-09

Recent electoral history | Kings North



2017 2021 Proj. PC 45.9% 44.7% 54% ± 6% LIB 33.5% 29.3% 18% ± 4% NDP 16.2% 21.1% 22% ± 4% GRN 3.5% 4.4% 6% ± 2%