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Nova scotia

Chester-St. Margaret’s


MLA elect (unofficial): Danielle Barkhouse (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Chester-St. Margaret’s


Progressive Conservative Danielle Barkhouse
Liberal Party Laura Mulrooney
New Democratic Party Brendan Mosher

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Chester-St. Margaret’s 58% ± 0%▲ PC 26% ± 0%▲ LIB 16% ± 0%▼ NDP PC 2024 40.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Chester-St. Margaret’s >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Chester-St. Margaret’s

LIB 26% ± 0% PC 58% ± 0% NDP 16% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Chester-St. Margaret’s 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 47% LIB 25% NDP 21% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 48% LIB 25% NDP 21% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 52% LIB 25% NDP 23% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 52% LIB 24% NDP 23% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 54% LIB 24% NDP 23% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 57% NDP 22% LIB 21% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 58% LIB 26% NDP 16% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Chester-St. Margaret’s

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Chester-St. Margaret’s



2017 2021 Proj. PC 25.8% 40.1% 58% ± 0% LIB 35.1% 37.6% 26% ± 0% NDP 34.4% 17.2% 16% ± 0% GRN 4.7% 4.4% 0% ± 0%