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Recent electoral history | Queens


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 78% ± 7% 52.8% 69.8% 79.9% NDP 10% ± 5% 17.8% 6.4% 8.8% LIB 9% ± 5% 25.9% 20.8% 11.3%

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338Canada Queens projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Queens 71% 84% 78% ± 7% PC 5% 14% 10% ± 5% NDP 5% 14% 9% ± 5% LIB PC 2024 79.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Queens >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Queens

LIB 9% ± 5% PC 78% ± 7% NDP 10% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Queens 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 81% LIB 10% NDP 9% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 80% LIB 9% NDP 9% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 79% NDP 10% LIB 9% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 78% NDP 10% LIB 9% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Queens

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2026-02-18