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Nova scotia

Guysborough-Tracadie


MLA elect (unofficial): Greg Morrow (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Guysborough-Tracadie


Progressive Conservative Greg Morrow
Liberal Party George Grant
New Democratic Party Deborah Martinello

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Guysborough-Tracadie 77% ± 0%▼ PC 15% ± 0% LIB 8% ± 0%▲ NDP PC 2024 63.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Guysborough-Tracadie >99% PC <1% LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Guysborough-Tracadie

LIB 15% ± 0% PC 77% ± 0% NDP 8% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Guysborough-Tracadie 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 71% LIB 21% NDP 6% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 72% LIB 20% NDP 6% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 75% LIB 19% NDP 6% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 75% LIB 19% NDP 6% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 76% LIB 18% NDP 6% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 79% LIB 15% NDP 6% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 77% LIB 15% NDP 8% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Guysborough-Tracadie

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Guysborough-Tracadie



2017 2021 Proj. PC 42.4% 63.4% 77% ± 0% LIB 43.5% 30.4% 15% ± 0% NDP 14.1% 4.8% 8% ± 0% GRN 0.0% 1.5% 0% ± 0%