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Nova scotia


Sackville-Cobequid


MLA: Steve Craig (PC)


Latest projection: September 2, 2023

PC likely
Sackville-Cobequid 48% ± 6%▲ 35% ± 6% 13% ± 4%▼ 4% ± 2%▲ PC 2021 43.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 2, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Sackville-Cobequid 99%▲ 1%▼ <1% Odds of winning | September 2, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Sackville-Cobequid

LIB 13% ± 4% PC 48% ± 6% NDP 35% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Sackville-Cobequid 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | Sackville-Cobequid

LIB <1% PC 99% NDP 1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Sackville-Cobequid



2017 2021 Proj. PC 25.4% 43.3% 48% ± 6% NDP 44.2% 32.6% 35% ± 6% LIB 26.0% 21.5% 13% ± 4% GRN 3.3% 2.6% 4% ± 2%