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Nova scotia

Sackville-Cobequid


MLA elect (unofficial): Paul Wozney (NDP)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
Toss up PC/NDP

Candidates | Sackville-Cobequid


Progressive Conservative Paul Russell
Liberal Party Agatha Bourassa
New Democratic Party Paul Wozney

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Sackville-Cobequid 45% ± 0%▲ NDP 44% ± 0%▼ PC 11% ± 0%▼ LIB PC 2024 43.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Sackville-Cobequid 62%▲ NDP 38%▼ PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Sackville-Cobequid

LIB 11% ± 0% PC 44% ± 0% NDP 45% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Sackville-Cobequid 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 47% NDP 36% LIB 14% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 47% NDP 36% LIB 14% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 49% NDP 38% LIB 13% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 49% NDP 38% LIB 13% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 49% NDP 38% LIB 13% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 51% NDP 38% LIB 12% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 NDP 45% PC 44% LIB 11% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Sackville-Cobequid

LIB <1% PC 38% NDP 62% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 95% NDP 5% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 96% NDP 4% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 96% NDP 4% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 94% NDP 6% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 96% NDP 4% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 97% NDP 3% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 NDP 62% PC 38% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Sackville-Cobequid



2017 2021 Proj. PC 25.4% 43.3% 44% ± 0% NDP 44.2% 32.6% 45% ± 0% LIB 26.0% 21.5% 11% ± 0% GRN 3.3% 2.6% 0% ± 0%