logo
Nova scotia

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Nova Scotia flag

Central Nova

10 provincial districts
Latest update: February 18, 2026

Central Nova 62% 68% 65% ± 3% PC 13% 16% 14% ± 2% NDP 9% 12% 11% ± 2% LIB 5% 7% 6% ± 1% IND 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Central Nova, 10 federal districts 9 [9-9] PC 1  [1-1] IND 338Canada seat projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Nova Scotia Projection | Central Nova

Nova Scotia Seat Projection | Central Nova



Nova Scotia flag

List of districts | Central Nova
Latest update: February 18, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Michelle Thompson
PC PC safe
Scott Armstrong
PC PC safe
PC PC safe
Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
I IND likely
Tory Rushton
PC PC safe
Greg Morrow
PC PC safe
Danny MacGillivray
PC PC safe
Tim Houston
PC PC safe
Marco MacLeod
PC PC safe
PC PC safe