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Nova scotia


Colchester North


MLA: Tom Taggart (PC)


Latest projection: September 2, 2023

PC safe
Colchester North 62% ± 6%▲ 20% ± 4%▼ 13% ± 4% 4% ± 2% PC 2021 53.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 2, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Colchester North >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | September 2, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Colchester North

LIB 20% ± 4% PC 62% ± 6% NDP 13% ± 4% GRN 4% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Colchester North 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP GRN

Odds of winning | Colchester North

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Colchester North



2017 2021 Proj. PC 41.0% 53.1% 62% ± 6% LIB 46.5% 31.9% 20% ± 4% NDP 12.5% 11.3% 13% ± 4% GRN 0.0% 3.0% 4% ± 2%