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Recent electoral history | Colchester North


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 65% ± 7% 41.0% 53.1% 67.7% NDP 18% ± 5% 12.5% 11.3% 16.8% LIB 11% ± 4% 46.5% 31.9% 13.2% GRN 4% ± 4% 0.0% 3.0% 2.3%

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338Canada Colchester North projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Colchester North 58% 72% 65% ± 7% PC 13% 24% 18% ± 5% NDP 7% 15% 11% ± 4% LIB 1% 8% 4% ± 4% GRN PC 2024 67.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Colchester North >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Colchester North

LIB 11% ± 4% PC 65% ± 7% NDP 18% ± 5% GRN 4% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Colchester North 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP GRN February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 68% NDP 17% LIB 12% GRN 3% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 68% NDP 17% LIB 11% GRN 4% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 66% NDP 18% LIB 11% GRN 4% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 65% NDP 18% LIB 11% GRN 4% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Colchester North

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2026-02-18