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Nova scotia

Colchester North


MLA elect (unofficial): Scott Armstrong (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Colchester North


Progressive Conservative Scott Armstrong
Liberal Party Gwynneth (Gwyn) Bellefontaine
New Democratic Party Janet Moulton

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Colchester North 68% ± 0%▼ PC 17% ± 0%▲ NDP 13% ± 0%▼ LIB PC 2024 53.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Colchester North >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Colchester North

LIB 13% ± 0% PC 68% ± 0% NDP 17% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Colchester North 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 61% LIB 21% NDP 13% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 62% LIB 21% NDP 13% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 66% LIB 20% NDP 14% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 66% LIB 20% NDP 15% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 67% LIB 19% NDP 14% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 70% LIB 16% NDP 14% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 68% NDP 17% LIB 13% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Colchester North

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Colchester North



2017 2021 Proj. PC 41.0% 53.1% 68% ± 0% LIB 46.5% 31.9% 13% ± 0% NDP 12.5% 11.3% 17% ± 0% GRN 0.0% 3.0% 2% ± 0%