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Nova scotia


Dartmouth East


MLA: Tim Halman (PC)


Latest projection: March 9, 2024

PC safe
Dartmouth East 49% ± 6%▲ PC 25% ± 5%▼ NDP 23% ± 5%▲ LIB 3% ± 2% GRN PC 2021 39.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Dartmouth East >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Dartmouth East

LIB 23% ± 5% PC 49% ± 6% NDP 25% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Dartmouth East 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Odds of winning | Dartmouth East

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 LIB PC NDP

Recent electoral history | Dartmouth East



2017 2021 Proj. PC 41.2% 39.0% 49% ± 6% LIB 38.8% 34.7% 23% ± 5% NDP 12.0% 23.6% 25% ± 5% GRN 8.1% 2.2% 3% ± 2%