logo
Nova scotia

Dartmouth East


MLA elect (unofficial): Timothy Halman (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
PC safe

Candidates | Dartmouth East


Progressive Conservative Timothy Halman
Liberal Party Stacy Chesnutt
New Democratic Party Holly Fraughton

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Dartmouth East 46% ± 0%▼ PC 31% ± 0%▲ NDP 24% ± 0%▲ LIB PC 2024 39.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dartmouth East >99% PC <1% NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Dartmouth East

LIB 24% ± 0% PC 46% ± 0% NDP 31% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Dartmouth East 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 45% NDP 28% LIB 24% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 45% NDP 28% LIB 24% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 48% NDP 29% LIB 23% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 47% NDP 30% LIB 23% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 48% NDP 30% LIB 22% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 50% NDP 30% LIB 21% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 46% NDP 31% LIB 24% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Dartmouth East

LIB <1% PC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC >99% NDP <1% LIB <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Dartmouth East



2017 2021 Proj. PC 41.2% 39.0% 46% ± 0% LIB 38.8% 34.7% 24% ± 0% NDP 12.0% 23.6% 31% ± 0% GRN 8.1% 2.2% 0% ± 0%