logo
Nova scotia

Recent electoral history | Dartmouth East


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 41% ± 7% 41.2% 39.0% 45.5% NDP 35% ± 7% 12.0% 23.6% 30.7% LIB 20% ± 5% 38.8% 34.7% 23.8%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


Nova Scotia flag

338Canada Dartmouth East projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Dartmouth East 34% 48% 41% ± 7% PC 28% 42% 35% ± 7% NDP 14% 25% 20% ± 5% LIB PC 2024 45.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dartmouth East 82%▼ PC 18%▲ NDP <1% LIB Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Dartmouth East

LIB 20% ± 5% PC 41% ± 7% NDP 35% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Dartmouth East 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 47% NDP 31% LIB 22% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 47% NDP 32% LIB 20% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 45% NDP 34% LIB 20% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 41% NDP 35% LIB 20% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Dartmouth East

LIB <1% PC 82% NDP 18% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 99% NDP 1% LIB <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 99% NDP 1% LIB <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 96% NDP 4% LIB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 82% NDP 18% LIB <1% 2026-02-18