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Recent electoral history | Annapolis


2017 2021 2024 Projection PC 47% ± 8% 14.7% 32.3% 44.5% LIB 34% ± 7% 66.5% 49.6% 44.4% NDP 11% ± 4% 13.7% 13.2% 9.3% GRN 4% ± 3% 3.8% 3.6% 1.9%

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338Canada Annapolis projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Annapolis 40% 55% 47% ± 8% PC 27% 42% 34% ± 7% LIB 7% 15% 11% ± 4% NDP 1% 7% 4% ± 3% GRN PC 2024 44.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Annapolis 96%▲ PC 4%▼ LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Annapolis

LIB 34% ± 7% PC 47% ± 8% NDP 11% ± 4% GRN 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Annapolis 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP GRN February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 46% LIB 42% NDP 10% GRN 3% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 48% LIB 39% NDP 10% GRN 4% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 46% LIB 39% NDP 11% GRN 4% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 47% LIB 34% NDP 11% GRN 4% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Annapolis

LIB 4% PC 96% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 LIB PC NDP February 18, 2026 2025-06-02 PC 74% LIB 26% NDP <1% 2025-06-02 2025-10-01 PC 88% LIB 12% NDP <1% 2025-10-01 2025-12-20 PC 84% LIB 16% NDP <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-18 PC 96% LIB 4% NDP <1% 2026-02-18