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Nova scotia

Annapolis


MLA elect (unofficial): David Bowlby (PC)

Latest projection: November 27, 2024
Toss up LIB/PC

Candidates | Annapolis


Progressive Conservative David Bowlby
Liberal Party Carman Kerr
New Democratic Party Cheryl Burbidge
Green Party Sara Adams

Candidates are listed on the Elections Nova Scotia website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Annapolis 44% ± 0%▼ PC 44% ± 0%▲ LIB 9% ± 0%▼ NDP LIB 2024 49.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 27, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Annapolis 51%▼ PC 49%▲ LIB <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 27, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Annapolis

LIB 44% ± 0% PC 44% ± 0% NDP 9% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Annapolis 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 41% LIB 36% NDP 17% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 42% LIB 35% NDP 17% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 43% LIB 33% NDP 18% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 43% LIB 33% NDP 18% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 45% LIB 32% NDP 18% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 45% LIB 33% NDP 18% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 44% LIB 44% NDP 9% 2024-11-27

Odds of winning | Annapolis

LIB 49% PC 51% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-11-01 2024-11-15 2024-12-01 Election 2024 Campaign begins LIB PC NDP November 27, 2024 2024-11-01 PC 79% LIB 21% NDP <1% 2024-11-01 2024-11-04 PC 84% LIB 16% NDP <1% 2024-11-04 2024-11-12 PC 95% LIB 5% NDP <1% 2024-11-12 2024-11-20 PC 96% LIB 4% NDP <1% 2024-11-20 2024-11-23 PC 99% LIB 1% NDP <1% 2024-11-23 2024-11-25 PC 97% LIB 3% NDP <1% 2024-11-25 2024-11-27 PC 51% LIB 49% NDP <1% 2024-11-27

Recent electoral history | Annapolis



2017 2021 Proj. LIB 66.5% 49.6% 44% ± 0% PC 14.7% 32.3% 44% ± 0% NDP 13.7% 13.2% 9% ± 0% GRN 3.8% 3.6% 2% ± 0%