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Canada

Welcome to 338Canada!


The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. This web site is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal.

Philippe J. Fournier is a political columnist for Politico and L'actualité magazine, as well as a regular political contributor for CTV Montreal, Noovo, and Radio-Canada. He also co-hosts a new political podcast The Numbers with Éric Grenier.

Please subscribe to the 338Canada newsletter here, and enjoy the website!


ON 89 22 9 1 QC 36 25 15 2 BC 31 6 4 1 AB 32 2 MB 7 4 3 SK 14 NS 8 2 1 NB 6 4 NL 5 2 PEI 3 1 YK NWT NU 338Canada federal projections Click on map to see projection details Updated on March 17, 2024

ON QC BC AB MB SK NS NB NL PEI YK NWT NU 338Canada provincial projections Click on a province to see projection details 70 28 23 2 1 53 27 22 15 8 81 6 4 2 52 35 34 22 1 38 23 41 8 5 1 24 22 3 21 13 4 2

Latest 338Canada updates


Click on any chart to access projection details

Newfoundland & Labrador

Updated March 9, 2024
LIB 42% ± 7%▲ PC 34% ± 6%▼ NDP 20% ± 5%▲ Projections | Polls | Districts

Election calendar