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Welcome to 338Canada.com!
The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history of Canadian provinces and demographic data. This web site is the creation of Philippe J. Fournier, astronomy and physics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal.
Philippe J. Fournier is a political columnist for Maclean's and L'actualité magazines, and as well as contributor of political analyses for CTV Montreal, Noovo, and Radio-Canada.
You can subscribe to the 338Canada Facebook page, as well as follow Philippe J.Fournier on Twitter. Thanks for your visit!
Welcome to 338Canada.com!
The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history of Canadian provinces and demographic data. This web site is the creation of Philippe J. Fournier, astronomy and physics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal.
Philippe J. Fournier is a political columnist for Maclean's and L'actualité magazines, and as well as contributor of political analyses for CTV Montreal, Noovo, and Radio-Canada.
You can subscribe to the 338Canada Facebook page, as well as follow Philippe J.Fournier on Twitter. Thanks for your visit!
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| Nova Scotia General Election August 17, 2021 |
- Federal Vote Projection
- Federal Seat Projection
- Odds of winning most seats
- Regional distribution
- Results & Projections 2019
Federal Vote Projection
Last update: July 25, 2021
- Federal Vote Projection
- Federal Seat Projection
- Odds of winning most seats
- Regional distribution
- Results & Projections 2019
Federal Seat Projection
Last update: July 25, 2021
170 seats needed for a majority
- Federal Vote Projection
- Federal Seat Projection
- Odds of winning most seats
- Regional distribution
- Results & Projections 2019
Odds of winning of the most seats
Last update: July 25, 2021
- Federal Vote Projection
- Federal Seat Projection
- Odds of winning most seats
- Regional distribution
- Results & Projections 2019
Regional distribution
Federal vote projection averages per region - July 25, 2021
| ATL | QC | ON | MB/SK | AB | BC | TR | National | |
 |
45% | 38% | 40% | 23% | 19% | 32% | 31% | 35.1% |
 |
27% | 14% | 30% | 41% | 50% | 26% | 21% | 28.5% |
 |
18% | 11% | 22% | 24% | 18% | 30% | 31% | 19.9% |
 |
0% | 31% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.1% |
 |
7% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 5.8% |
 |
3% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2.6% |
 |
0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 1.0% |
Federal seat projection averages per region - July 25, 2021
| ATL | QC | ON | MB/SK | AB | BC | TR | National | |
| |
26.6 | 38.8 | 72.0 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 17.7 | 1.6 | 164.0 |
| |
4.4 | 8.8 | 33.9 | 17.8 | 31.0 | 9.6 | 0.1 | 105.7 |
| |
0.9 | 0.8 | 15.1 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 13.4 | 1.4 | 37.2 |
| |
0.0 | 29.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.3 |
| |
0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| |
0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
- Federal Vote Projection
- Federal Seat Projection
- Odds of winning most seats
- Regional distribution
- Results & Projections 2019
Electoral Projection for 43rd Canadian General Election
