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Welcome to 338Canada.com - Quebec!
The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history of Canadian provinces and demographic data. This web site is the creation of P.J. Fournier, astronomy and physics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal.
P.J. Fournier is a political contributor for Maclean's and L'actualité magazines, and he is a political analyst for CTV Montreal and CJAD 800.
You can visit the complete interactive map of the latest Quebec electoral projections here.
You can subscribe to the 338Canada Facebook page, as well as follow P.J.Fournier on Twitter. Thanks for your visit!

Popular Vote Projection
Last update: February 11, 2021Seat Projection
Last update: February 11, 202163 seats needed for a majority
Odds of winning the most seats
Last update: February 11, 2021Regional distribution - Vote projections
Last update: February 11, 2021Montreal | 450 | Quebec City | Regions | Current averages | |
|
27% | 53% | 56% | 52% | 46.8% |
|
41% | 19% | 15% | 16% | 22.7% |
|
8% | 14% | 9% | 17% | 13.4% |
|
18% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 11.9% |
Regional distribution - Seat projections
Montreal | 450 | Quebec City | Regions | Current averages | |
|
3.6 | 28.9 | 13.1 | 44.6 | 90.1 |
|
17.3 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 23.4 |
|
6.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7.6 |
|
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
Total | 27 | 33 | 14 | 51 | 125 |
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