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Newfoundland & labrador

Newfoundland & Labrador provincial polls



LIB 40% ± 6%
PC 40% ± 6%▲
NDP 16% ± 4%

LIB PC NDP NLA Voting intentions % 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2021 May 27, 2024 2021-04-07 LIB 48% PC 38% NDP 8% NLA 0% 2021-04-07 2022-08-20 LIB 42% PC 40% NDP 13% NLA 0% 2022-08-20 2023-03-10 LIB 45% PC 35% NDP 15% NLA 0% 2023-03-10 2023-06-28 LIB 48% PC 32% NDP 16% NLA 0% 2023-06-28 2023-09-02 LIB 44% PC 34% NDP 18% NLA 0% 2023-09-02 2023-10-17 LIB 40% PC 37% NDP 19% NLA 0% 2023-10-17 2024-01-30 LIB 41% PC 37% NDP 19% NLA 0% 2024-01-30 2024-03-09 LIB 42% PC 34% NDP 20% NLA 0% 2024-03-09 2024-04-15 LIB 42% PC 38% NDP 16% NLA 0% 2024-04-15 2024-05-27 LIB 40% PC 40% NDP 16% NLA 0% 2024-05-27 [▲▼: movement since previous update]

Projection updated on May 27, 2024
Firm Rating Date
(middle)		 Sample LIB PC NDP NLA Leader
Narrative Research
B−
2024-08-13 350 43 35 19 LIB +8
Narrative Research
B−
2024-05-19 350 38 41 19 PC +3
Narrative Research
B−
2024-02-13 350 43 33 23 LIB +10
Narrative Research
B−
2023-11-15 388 44 38 16 LIB +6
Abacus Data
A−
2023-09-22 500 40 38 21 LIB +2
Narrative Research
B−
2023-08-06 350 40 37 23 LIB +3
Narrative Research
B−
2023-05-11 350 50 31 17 LIB +19
Narrative Research
B−
2023-02-19 350 46 36 17 LIB +10
Narrative Research
B−
2022-11-15 535 47 34 16 LIB +13
Narrative Research
B−
2022-08-14 400 40 42 16 PC +2
Angus Reid
B+
2022-06-11 201 36 45 12 PC +9
Narrative Research
B−
2022-05-15 400 48 32 17 LIB +16
Angus Reid
B+
2022-03-13 196 43 44 10 PC +1
Narrative Research
B−
2022-02-15 350 49 32 15 LIB +17
Angus Reid
B+
2022-01-09 155 37 44 15 PC +7
MQO Research
C
2021-11-28 400 47 31 18 LIB +16
Narrative Research
B−
2021-11-12 800 48 27 23 LIB +21
Angus Reid
B+
2021-10-01 203 39 39 17 Tie
Narrative Research
B−
2021-09-19 400 53 28 18 LIB +25
MQO Research
C
2021-06-28 400 56 26 15 0 LIB +30
Angus Reid
B+
2021-06-05 153 50 39 8 LIB +11
Narrative Research
B−
2021-05-19 800 54 30 14 LIB +24
General election 2021-03-25 178,632 48.2 38.8 8.0 0.3 LIB +9.4
Forum Research
B
2021-03-24 933 48 34 14 LIB +14
Mainstreet Research
A−
2021-02-21 1,243 53 32 9 2 LIB +21
Mainstreet Research
A−
2021-02-10 996 54 26 17 2 LIB +28
Mainstreet Research
A−
2021-01-27 877 62 26 9 1 LIB +36
MQO Research
C
2020-12-14 308 65 22 11 0 LIB +43
Angus Reid
B+
2020-11-27 198 50 39 8 LIB +11
Narrative Research
B−
2020-11-17 800 58 26 13 LIB +32
MQO Research
C
2020-08-23 400 53 33 11 1 LIB +20
Narrative Research
B−
2020-08-12 400 61 21 15 LIB +40
Angus Reid
B+
2020-05-22 213 48 35 12 LIB +13
Narrative Research
B−
2020-05-15 801 60 26 13 LIB +34
Narrative Research
B−
2020-02-14 400 37 35 26 LIB +2
Narrative Research
B−
2019-11-12 581 42 33 24 LIB +9
Narrative Research
B−
2019-08-14 800 42 32 24 LIB +10
MQO Research
C
2019-07-28 400 50 34 13 LIB +16
[** Double asterix indicates this is an internal poll or a poll coming from a partisan source. These polls are listed on this page for information purposes, and are weighted down in the projections.]