338Canada Alberta | Poll Analysis & Electoral Projections

Welcome to 338Canada Alberta!


The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history of Canadian provinces and demographic data. This web site is the creation of P.J. Fournier, astronomy and physics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal.

P.J. Fournier is a political contributor for Maclean's and L'actualité magazines, and he is a political analyst for CTV Montreal and CJAD 800.

Find your Alberta provincial electoral district below:






338Canada Alberta Projection


Last update: October 24, 2021




Odds of winning

Last update: October 24, 2021












Regional distribution - Vote projections

Last update: October 24, 2021


CAL EDM North Central South Current averages
50% 62% 35% 29% 35% 45.1%
30% 24% 37% 40% 37% 32.2%
8% 4% 14% 16% 15% 10.0%
6% 6% 7% 8% 5% 6.1%



Regional distribution - Seat projections


CAL EDM North Central South Current averages
23.1 21.0 5.6 4.6 4.3 60
[45-71]
2.9 0.0 8.4 9.4 7.7 27
[16-42]
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
[0-0]
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
[0-0]
Total 26 21 14 14 12 87








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