Welcome to 338Canada Alberta!

The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history of Canadian provinces and demographic data. This web site is the creation of P.J. Fournier, astronomy and physics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal.

P.J. Fournier is a political contributor for Maclean's and L'actualité magazines, and he is a political analyst for CTV Montreal and CJAD 800.

You can subscribe to the 338Canada Facebook page, as well as follow P.J.Fournier on Twitter. Thanks for your visit!

Popular Vote Projection

Last update: June 15, 2021

Seat Projection

Last update: June 15, 2021

44 seats needed for majority

Odds of winning the most seats

Last update: June 15, 2021

Regional distribution - Vote projections

Last update: June 15, 2021

CAL EDM North Central South Current averages

44% 61% 29% 23% 29% 40.5%

35% 23% 39% 41% 39% 34.3%

12% 7% 23% 26% 26% 16.8%

6% 6% 6% 7% 4% 5.9%

Regional distribution - Seat projections

CAL EDM North Central South Current averages

17.7 20.9 3.8 3.0 3.2 48.6

8.3 0.1 10.1 10.8 8.4 37.7

0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6

0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Total 26 21 14 14 12 87

CAL	EDM	North	Central	South	Current averages
44%	61%	29%	23%	29%	40.5%
35%	23%	39%	41%	39%	34.3%
12%	7%	23%	26%	26%	16.8%
6%	6%	6%	7%	4%	5.9%

	CAL	EDM	North	Central	South	Current averages
	17.7	20.9	3.8	3.0	3.2	48.6
	8.3	0.1	10.1	10.8	8.4	37.7
	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6
	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Total	26	21	14	14	12	87

Welcome to 338Canada Alberta!

Popular Vote Projection

Seat Projection

Odds of winning the most seats

Regional distribution - Vote projections

CAL EDM North Central South Current averages 44% 61% 29% 23% 29% 40.5% 35% 23% 39% 41% 39% 34.3% 12% 7% 23% 26% 26% 16.8% 6% 6% 6% 7% 4% 5.9%

Regional distribution - Seat projections

CAL EDM North Central South Current averages 17.7 20.9 3.8 3.0 3.2 48.6 8.3 0.1 10.1 10.8 8.4 37.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total 26 21 14 14 12 87

CAL EDM North Central South Current averages

44% 61% 29% 23% 29% 40.5%

35% 23% 39% 41% 39% 34.3%

12% 7% 23% 26% 26% 16.8%

6% 6% 6% 7% 4% 5.9%

CAL EDM North Central South Current averages

17.7 20.9 3.8 3.0 3.2 48.6

8.3 0.1 10.1 10.8 8.4 37.7

0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6

0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Total 26 21 14 14 12 87