- 338 Home▼
- 338 Ontario
- 338 Blog
- Ontario districts▼
- Parties▼
- Ontario Map
- Ontario Polls
- Ontario simulator
- 338 Pollster Ratings
- The Record So Far
- Methodology
- About 338
- Français

Welcome to 338Canada.com - Ontario!
The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history of Canadian provinces and demographic data. This web site is the creation of P.J. Fournier, astronomy and physics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal.
P.J. Fournier is a political contributor for Maclean's and L'actualité magazines, and he is a political analyst for CTV Montreal and CJAD 800.
You can subscribe to the 338Canada Facebook page, as well as follow P.J.Fournier on Twitter. Thanks for your visit!

Popular Vote Projection
Last update: April 18, 2021Seat Projection
Last update: April 18, 202163 seats needed for a majority
Odds of winning the most seats
Last update: April 18, 2021Regional distribution - Vote projections
Last update: April 18, 2021Toronto | GTA/905 | Ottawa | East | Ham/Niagara | Southwest | Central | North | Current averages | |
|
31% | 41% | 32% | 46% | 32% | 39% | 47% | 31% | 37.5% |
|
37% | 33% | 43% | 26% | 20% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 28.8% |
|
26% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 38% | 32% | 17% | 35% | 25.0% |
|
6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7.6% |
Regional distribution - Seat projections
Toronto | GTA/905 | Ottawa | East | Ham/Niagara | Southwest | Central | North | Current averages | |
|
6.6 | 19.9 | 3.0 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 13.8 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 63.6 |
|
12.4 | 8.1 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 32.3 |
|
5.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 5.5 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 27.1 |
|
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Total | 25 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 124 |
- Qc125 accueil▼
- Qc125 Ontario
- Blogue
- Circonscriptions▼
- Partis▼
- Carte de l'Ontario
- Sondages Ontario
- Simulateur Ontario
- Bulletin des sondeurs
- Méthodologie
- À propos de Qc125
- Français