Welcome to 338Canada Ontario!
The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls,
electoral history, and demographic data. This web site is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at
Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal.
Philippe J. Fournier is a political columnist for Politico and L'actualité, as well as a regular political contributor for CTV Montreal, Noovo, and Radio-Canada.
Enjoy the website!
Philippe J. Fournier is a political columnist for Politico and L'actualité, as well as a regular political contributor for CTV Montreal, Noovo, and Radio-Canada.
Enjoy the website!
338Canada Projection | Ontario
Latest update: June 3, 2022
Odds of winning
Latest update: June 3, 2022
| Party | Toronto | GTA/905 | Ottawa | East | Ham.-Niagara | Southwest | Central | North | Ontario |
 |
33% ± 1 | 47% ± 1 | 32% ± 2 | 47% ± 2 | 35% ± 2 | 41% ± 1 | 48% ± 2 | 40% ± 2 | 41% ± 0% |
 |
32% ± 1 | 30% ± 1 | 33% ± 2 | 23% ± 2 | 16% ± 2 | 14% ± 1 | 23% ± 2 | 12% ± 2 | 24% ± 0% |
 |
27% ± 1 | 15% ± 1 | 27% ± 2 | 19% ± 2 | 38% ± 2 | 27% ± 1 | 15% ± 2 | 35% ± 2 | 24% ± 0% |
 |
5% ± 1 | 4% ± 0 | 5% ± 1 | 5% ± 1 | 5% ± 1 | 8% ± 1 | 8% ± 1 | 8% ± 1 | 6% ± 0% |