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Welcome to 338Canada.com - British Columbia!
The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history of Canadian provinces and demographic data. This web site is the creation of P.J. Fournier, astronomy and physics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal.
P.J. Fournier is a political contributor for Maclean's and L'actualité magazines, and he is a political analyst for CTV Montreal and CJAD 800.
You can subscribe to the 338Canada Facebook page, as well as follow P.J.Fournier on Twitter. Thanks for your visit!
- Popular Vote Projection
- Seat Projection
- Odds of winning most seats
- Regional distribution
- 2020 Projection & election results

Popular Vote Projection
Last update: December 12, 2020- Popular Vote Projection
- Seat Projection
- Odds of winning most seats
- Regional distribution
- 2020 Projection & election results
Seat Projection
Last update: December 12, 202044 seats needed for a majority
- Popular Vote Projection
- Seat Projection
- Odds of winning most seats
- Regional distribution
- 2020 Projection & election results
Odds of winning the most seats
Last update: December 12, 2020- Popular Vote Projection
- Seat Projection
- Odds of winning most seats
- Regional distribution
- 2020 Projection & election results
Regional distribution - Vote projections
Last update: December 12, 2020Metro Van. | GV/FV | VanIsland/Coast | Okanagan/Rockies | North | Current averages | |
|
54% | 45% | 52% | 37% | 30% | 47.8% |
|
34% | 36% | 21% | 44% | 51% | 34.1% |
|
11% | 12% | 26% | 14% | 6% | 14.5% |
|
1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 2.0% |
Regional distribution - Seat projections
Metro Van. | GV/FV | VanIsland/Coast | Okanagan/Rockies | North | Current averages | |
|
28.0 | 9.9 | 14.1 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 57.5 |
|
7.0 | 3.6 | 0.2 | 8.8 | 7.7 | 27.2 |
|
0.0 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 |
|
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Total | 35 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 87 |
- Popular Vote Projection
- Seat Projection
- Odds of winning most seats
- Regional distribution
- 2020 Projection & election results
Final 2020 projection & election results


- 338 Home▼
- 338 BC
- 338 Blog
- BC districts▼
- Parties▼
- BC Map
- BC Polls
- 338 Pollster Ratings
- The Record So Far
- Methodology
- About 338
- Français