338Canada British Columbia - Poll Analysis & Electoral Projections

Welcome to 338Canada.com - British Columbia!


The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history of Canadian provinces and demographic data. This web site is the creation of P.J. Fournier, astronomy and physics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal.

P.J. Fournier is a political contributor for Maclean's and L'actualité magazines, and he is a political analyst for CTV Montreal and CJAD 800.

You can subscribe to the 338Canada Facebook page, as well as follow P.J.Fournier on Twitter. Thanks for your visit!








Popular Vote Projection

Last update: December 12, 2020








Seat Projection

Last update: December 12, 2020

44 seats needed for a majority







Odds of winning the most seats

Last update: December 12, 2020







Regional distribution - Vote projections

Last update: December 12, 2020


Metro Van. GV/FV VanIsland/Coast Okanagan/Rockies North Current averages
54% 45% 52% 37% 30% 47.8%
34% 36% 21% 44% 51% 34.1%
11% 12% 26% 14% 6% 14.5%
1% 4% 1% 3% 8% 2.0%



Regional distribution - Seat projections


Metro Van. GV/FV VanIsland/Coast Okanagan/Rockies North Current averages
28.0 9.9 14.1 4.1 1.3 57.5
7.0 3.6 0.2 8.8 7.7 27.2
0.0 0.5 1.7 0.1 0.0 2.3
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Total 35 14 16 13 9 87






Final 2020 projection & election results







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