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Electoral District Projections — New Brunswick

Latest update: December 20, 2025

The Road to 25 seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 25 seats Caraquet LIB safe CARA Edmundston—Vallée-des-Rivières LIB safe EDVR Hautes-Terre-Nepisiguit LIB safe HAUT Shippagan—Les-Îles LIB safe SHIP Shediac Bay—Dieppe LIB safe SHE-D Madawaska-Les-Lacs—Edmundston LIB safe MADA Dieppe—Memramcook LIB safe DIEP Beausoleil—Grand-Bouctouche—Kent LIB safe BEAU Restigouche West LIB safe RESW Belle-Baie-Belledune LIB safe BELLE Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin LIB safe GFSQ Moncton East LIB safe M-EAS Saint John Harbour LIB safe SJ-HA Shediac—Cap-Acadie LIB safe SHE-C Fredericton South—Silverwood LIB safe F-SS Moncton Centre LIB safe M-CEN Bathurst LIB likely BATH Moncton South LIB likely M-SO Restigouche East LIB likely RESE Champdoré—Irishtown LIB likely CHAM Fredericton North LIB likely F-NOR Saint John Portland—Simonds LIB likely SJ-PS Miramichi Bay—Neguac LIB likely MIRB Tracadie LIB likely TRAC Saint John West—Lancaster LIB likely SJ-WL Kent North LIB leaning KENT Rothesay LIB leaning ROTH Hampton—Fundy—St. Martin’s Toss up LIB/PC HAMP Moncton Northwest Toss up LIB/PC M-NW Quispamsis Toss up LIB/PC QUIS Hanwell—New Maryland Toss up LIB/PC HAND Saint John East Toss up LIB/PC SJ-EA Riverview PC leaning RIVE Sussex—Three Rivers PC leaning SUSS Miramichi East PC likely MIRE Fredericton—York PC likely F-YOR Kings Centre PC likely KING Fredericton—Lincoln GRN likely F-LIN Saint Croix PC likely STCX Oromocto—Sunbury PC likely OROM Woodstock—Hartland PC safe WOOD Tantramar GRN safe TANT Miramichi West PC safe MIRW Albert—Riverview PC safe ALBR Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville PC safe FUND Fredericton—Grand Lake PC safe F-GL Arcadia—Butternut Valley—Maple Hills PC safe ARBV Carleton—York PC safe CARY Carleton—Victoria PC safe CARV CARA EDVR HAUT SHIP SHE-D MADA DIEP BEAU RESW BELLE GFSQ M-EAS SJ-HA SHE-C F-SS M-CEN BATH M-SO RESE CHAM F-NOR SJ-PS MIRB TRAC SJ-WL KENT ROTH HAMP M-NW QUIS HAND SJ-EA RIVE SUSS MIRE F-YOR KING F-LIN STCX OROM WOOD TANT MIRW ALBR FUND F-GL ARBV CARY CARV 338Canada New Brunswick Projection Latest update: December 20, 2025 16 PC [12-22] LIB 31 [25-35]

Electoral districts
Current party
 Projection
Albert—Riverview
Sherry Wilson
 PC PC safe
Arcadia—Butternut Valley—Maple Hills
Don Monaghan
 PC PC safe
Bathurst
René Legacy
 L LIB likely
Beausoleil—Grand-Bouctouche—Kent
Benoît Bourque
 L LIB safe
Belle-Baie-Belledune
Marco LeBlanc
 L LIB safe
Caraquet
Isabelle Thériault
 L LIB safe
Carleton—Victoria
Margaret Johnson
 PC PC safe
Carleton—York
Richard Ames
 PC PC safe
Champdoré—Irishtown
Lyne Chantal Boudreau
 L LIB likely
Dieppe—Memramcook
Natacha Vautour
 L LIB safe
Edmundston—Vallée-des-Rivières
Jean Claude (JC) D’Amours
 L LIB safe
Fredericton North
Luke Randall
 L LIB likely
Fredericton South—Silverwood
Susan Holt
 L LIB safe
Fredericton—Grand Lake
Kris Austin
 PC PC safe
Fredericton—Lincoln
David Coon
 G GRN likely
Fredericton—York
Ryan Cullins
 PC PC likely
Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville
Ian Lee
 PC PC safe
Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin
Chuck Chiasson
 L LIB safe
Hampton—Fundy—St. Martin’s
John Herron
 L Toss up LIB/PC
Hanwell—New Maryland
Cindy Miles
 L Toss up LIB/PC
Hautes-Terre-Nepisiguit
Luc Robichaud
 L LIB safe
Kent North
Pat Finnigan
 L LIB leaning
Kings Centre
Bill Oliver
 PC PC likely
Madawaska-Les-Lacs—Edmundston
Francine Landry
 L LIB safe
Miramichi Bay—Neguac
Sam Johnston
 L LIB likely
Miramichi East
Michelle Conroy
 PC PC likely
Miramichi West
Mike Dawson
 PC PC safe
Moncton Centre
Rob McKee
 L LIB safe
Moncton East
Alexandre Cédric Doucet
 L LIB safe
Moncton Northwest
Tania Sodhi
 L Toss up LIB/PC
Moncton South
Claire Johnson
 L LIB likely
Oromocto—Sunbury
Mary E. Wilson
 PC PC likely
Quispamsis
Aaron Kennedy
 L Toss up LIB/PC
Restigouche East
Guy H. Arseneault
 L LIB likely
Restigouche West
Gilles LePage
 L LIB safe
Riverview
Rob Weir
 PC PC leaning
Rothesay
Alyson Townsend
 L LIB leaning
Saint Croix
Kathy Brockus
 PC PC likely
Saint John East
Glen Savoie
 PC Toss up LIB/PC
Saint John Harbour
David Hickey
 L LIB safe
Saint John Portland—Simonds
John Dornan
 L LIB likely
Saint John West—Lancaster
Kate Elman Wilcott
 L LIB likely
Shediac Bay—Dieppe
Robert Gauvin
 L LIB safe
Shediac—Cap-Acadie
Jacques LeBlanc
 L LIB safe
Shippagan—Les-Îles
Eric Mallet
 L LIB safe
Sussex—Three Rivers
Tammy Scott-Wallace
 PC PC leaning
Tantramar
Megan Mitton
 G GRN safe
Tracadie
Keith Chiasson
 L LIB likely
Woodstock—Hartland
Bill Hogan
 PC PC safe