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New brunswick

The Road to 25 seats

Less likely More likely Majority: 25 seats Caraquet LIB safe CARA Edmundston—Vallée-des-Rivières LIB safe EDVR Hautes-Terre-Nepisiguit LIB safe HAUT Shippagan—Les-Îles LIB safe SHIP Shediac Bay—Dieppe LIB safe SHE-D Madawaska-Les-Lacs—Edmundston LIB safe MADA Dieppe—Memramcook LIB safe DIEP Beausoleil—Grand-Bouctouche—Kent LIB safe BEAU Restigouche West LIB safe RESW Belle-Baie-Belledune LIB safe BELLE Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin LIB safe GFSQ Moncton East LIB safe M-EAS Saint John Harbour LIB safe SJ-HA Bathurst LIB safe BATH Moncton Centre LIB safe M-CEN Shediac—Cap-Acadie LIB safe SHE-C Restigouche East LIB safe RESE Champdoré—Irishtown LIB safe CHAM Fredericton South—Silverwood LIB safe F-SS Fredericton North LIB safe F-NOR Moncton South LIB safe M-SO Saint John Portland—Simonds LIB safe SJ-PS Tracadie LIB safe TRAC Miramichi Bay—Neguac LIB safe MIRB Saint John West—Lancaster LIB likely SJ-WL Rothesay LIB likely ROTH Kent North LIB likely KENT Hampton—Fundy—St. Martin’s LIB leaning HAMP Moncton Northwest LIB leaning M-NW Quispamsis LIB leaning QUIS Hanwell—New Maryland Toss up LIB/PC HAND Saint John East Toss up LIB/PC SJ-EA Riverview PC leaning RIVE Sussex—Three Rivers PC likely SUSS Miramichi East PC likely MIRE Fredericton—York PC safe F-YOR Saint Croix PC safe STCX Kings Centre PC safe KING Miramichi West PC safe MIRW Oromocto—Sunbury PC safe OROM Albert—Riverview PC safe ALBR Woodstock—Hartland PC safe WOOD Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville PC safe FUND Arcadia—Butternut Valley—Maple Hills PC safe ARBV Carleton—Victoria PC safe CARV Fredericton—Grand Lake PC safe F-GL Fredericton—Lincoln GRN safe F-LIN Carleton—York PC safe CARY Tantramar GRN safe TANT CARA EDVR HAUT SHIP SHE-D MADA DIEP BEAU RESW BELLE GFSQ M-EAS SJ-HA BATH M-CEN SHE-C RESE CHAM F-SS F-NOR M-SO SJ-PS TRAC MIRB SJ-WL ROTH KENT HAMP M-NW QUIS HAND SJ-EA RIVE SUSS MIRE F-YOR STCX KING MIRW OROM ALBR WOOD FUND ARBV CARV F-GL F-LIN CARY TANT 338Canada New Brunswick Projection Latest update: October 22, 2024 ▼16 PC [16-16] LIB 31▲ [31-31]

25 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection		 Last election
(2024)
24 3 3 1 31
[31-31]		 31
12 2 1 1 16
[16-16]		 16
2 0 0 0 2
[2-2]		 2
0 0 0 0 0
[0-0]		 0
0 0 0 0 0
[0-0]		 0

List of all 49 electoral districts | New Brunswick


Electoral district Transposed
2020 winner		 Latest projection
001 Albert—Riverview PC safe
002 Arcadia—Butternut Valley—Maple Hills PC safe
003 Bathurst LIB safe
004 Beausoleil—Grand-Bouctouche—Kent LIB safe
005 Belle-Baie-Belledune LIB safe
006 Caraquet LIB safe
007 Carleton—Victoria PC safe
008 Carleton—York PC safe
009 Champdoré—Irishtown LIB safe
010 Dieppe—Memramcook LIB safe
011 Edmundston—Vallée-des-Rivières LIB safe
012 Fredericton North LIB safe
013 Fredericton South—Silverwood LIB safe
014 Fredericton—Grand Lake PC safe
015 Fredericton—Lincoln GRN safe
016 Fredericton—York PC safe
017 Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville PC safe
018 Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin LIB safe
019 Hampton—Fundy—St. Martin’s LIB leaning
020 Hanwell—New Maryland Toss up LIB/PC
021 Hautes-Terre-Nepisiguit LIB safe
022 Kent North LIB likely
023 Kings Centre PC safe
024 Madawaska-Les-Lacs—Edmundston LIB safe
025 Miramichi Bay—Neguac LIB safe
026 Miramichi East PC likely
027 Miramichi West PC safe
028 Moncton Centre LIB safe
029 Moncton East LIB safe
030 Moncton Northwest LIB leaning
031 Moncton South LIB safe
032 Oromocto—Sunbury PC safe
033 Quispamsis LIB leaning
034 Restigouche East LIB safe
035 Restigouche West LIB safe
036 Riverview PC leaning
037 Rothesay LIB likely
038 Saint Croix PC safe
039 Saint John East Toss up LIB/PC
040 Saint John Harbour LIB safe
041 Saint John Portland—Simonds LIB safe
042 Saint John West—Lancaster LIB likely
043 Shediac Bay—Dieppe LIB safe
044 Shediac—Cap-Acadie LIB safe
045 Shippagan—Les-Îles LIB safe
046 Sussex—Three Rivers PC likely
047 Tantramar GRN safe
048 Tracadie LIB safe
049 Woodstock—Hartland PC safe