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New brunswick



Latest update: March 9, 2024

25 seats needed for a majority
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Seat-by-seat
projection
Last election
(2020)
14 6 2 2 24
[19-29]
27
16 2 2 2 22
[17-26]
17
1 0 1 1 3
[1-6]
3
0 0 0 0 0
[0-0]
2
0 0 0 0 0
[0-0]
0
Seat-by-seat
projection
Last election
(2020)
24
[19-29]
27
22
[17-26]
17
3
[1-6]
3
0
[0-0]
2
0
[0-0]
0

Electoral district 2020 winner
(transposed results)
Latest projection
001 Albert—Riverview PC safe
002 Arcadia—Butternut Valley—Maple Hills PC safe
003 Bathurst LIB safe
004 Beausoleil—Grand-Bouctouche—Kent LIB safe
005 Belle-Baie-Belledune LIB safe
006 Caraquet LIB safe
007 Carleton—Victoria LIB leaning
008 Carleton—York PC safe
009 Champdoré—Irishtown LIB likely
010 Dieppe—Memramcook LIB safe
011 Edmundston—Vallée-des-Rivières LIB safe
012 Fredericton North Toss up PC/GRN
013 Fredericton South—Silverwood GRN leaning
014 Fredericton—Grand Lake PC likely
015 Fredericton—Lincoln Toss up PC/GRN
016 Fredericton—York PC likely
017 Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville PC safe
018 Grand Falls—Saint-Quentin LIB safe
019 Hampton—Fundy—St. Martin’s PC safe
020 Hanwell—New Maryland PC safe
021 Hautes-Terre-Nepisiguit LIB safe
022 Kent North Toss up LIB/GRN
023 Kings Centre PC safe
024 Madawaska-Les-Lacs—Edmundston LIB safe
025 Miramichi Bay—Neguac LIB safe
026 Miramichi East Toss up LIB/PC
027 Miramichi West PC likely
028 Moncton Centre LIB leaning
029 Moncton East LIB likely
030 Moncton Northwest Toss up LIB/PC
031 Moncton South PC leaning
032 Oromocto—Sunbury PC safe
033 Quispamsis PC safe
034 Restigouche East LIB safe
035 Restigouche West LIB safe
036 Riverview PC safe
037 Rothesay PC safe
038 Saint Croix PC safe
039 Saint John East PC likely
040 Saint John Harbour PC leaning
041 Saint John Portland—Simonds PC likely
042 Saint John West—Lancaster PC likely
043 Shediac Bay—Dieppe LIB safe
044 Shediac—Cap-Acadie LIB safe
045 Shippagan—Les-Îles LIB safe
046 Sussex—Three Rivers PC safe
047 Tantramar GRN safe
048 Tracadie LIB safe
049 Woodstock—Hartland PC safe
Electoral district
001 Albert—Riverview
002 Arcadia—Butternut Valley—Maple Hills
003 Bathurst
004 Beausoleil—Grand-Bouctouche—Kent
005 Belle-Baie-Belledune
006 Caraquet
007 Carleton—Victoria
008 Carleton—York
009 Champdoré—Irishtown
010 Dieppe—Memramcook
011 Edmundston—Vallée-des-Rivières
012 Fredericton North
013 Fredericton South—Silverwood
014 Fredericton—Grand Lake
015 Fredericton—Lincoln
016 Fredericton—York
017 Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville
018 Grand Falls—Saint-Quentin
019 Hampton—Fundy—St. Martin’s
020 Hanwell—New Maryland
021 Hautes-Terre-Nepisiguit
022 Kent North
023 Kings Centre
024 Madawaska-Les-Lacs—Edmundston
025 Miramichi Bay—Neguac
026 Miramichi East
027 Miramichi West
028 Moncton Centre
029 Moncton East
030 Moncton Northwest
031 Moncton South
032 Oromocto—Sunbury
033 Quispamsis
034 Restigouche East
035 Restigouche West
036 Riverview
037 Rothesay
038 Saint Croix
039 Saint John East
040 Saint John Harbour
041 Saint John Portland—Simonds
042 Saint John West—Lancaster
043 Shediac Bay—Dieppe
044 Shediac—Cap-Acadie
045 Shippagan—Les-Îles
046 Sussex—Three Rivers
047 Tantramar
048 Tracadie
049 Woodstock—Hartland