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Welcome to 338Canada.com - Newfoundland & Labrador!
The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history of Canadian provinces and demographic data. This web site is the creation of P.J. Fournier, astronomy and physics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal.
P.J. Fournier is a political contributor for Maclean's and L'actualité magazines, and he is a political analyst for CTV Montreal and CJAD 800.
You can subscribe to the 338Canada Facebook page, as well as follow P.J.Fournier on Twitter. Thanks for your visit!

Popular Vote Projection
Last update: January 16, 2020Seat Projection
Last update: January 16, 202021 seats needed for a majority
Odds of winning the most seats
Last update: January 16, 2020Regional distribution - Vote projections
Last update: January 16, 2020St.John's | Avalon | Central NL | Labrador | Current averages | |
|
46% | 43% | 57% | 53% | 50.4% |
|
25% | 48% | 36% | 26% | 37.4% |
|
28% | 2% | 1% | 16% | 7.1% |
![]() |
0% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4.0% |
|
0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1.0% |
Regional distribution - Seat projections
St.John's | Avalon | Central NL | Labrador | Current averages | |
|
4.5 | 4.1 | 14.9 | 2.9 | 26.5 |
|
0.5 | 6.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 9.5 |
|
1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.5 |
![]() |
0.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 |
|
0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 4 | 40 |
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