338Canada Nova Scotia | Poll Analysis & Electoral Projections

Welcome to 338Canada Nova Scotia!


The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history of Canadian provinces and demographic data. This web site is the creation of Philippe J. Fournier, astronomy and physics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal.

Philippe J. Fournier is a political columnist for Maclean's and L'actualité magazines, and as well as contributor of political analyses for CTV Montreal, Noovo, and Radio-Canada.

You can subscribe to the 338Canada Facebook page, as well as follow Philippe J.Fournier on Twitter. Thanks for your visit!

Welcome to 338Canada Nova Scotia!


The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history of Canadian provinces and demographic data. This web site is the creation of Philippe J. Fournier, astronomy and physics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montréal.

Philippe J. Fournier is a political columnist for Maclean's and L'actualité magazines, and as well as contributor of political analyses for CTV Montreal, Noovo, and Radio-Canada.

You can subscribe to the 338Canada Facebook page, as well as follow Philippe J.Fournier on Twitter. Thanks for your visit!

Nova Scotia General Election
August 17, 2021







Popular Vote Projection | Nova Scotia

Last update: July 26, 2021






Seat Projection | Nova Scotia

Last update: July 26, 2021

28 seats needed for a majority






Odds of winning the most seats

Last update: July 26, 2021






Regional distribution - Vote projections

Last update: July 26, 2021


Halifax Cape Breton Central Nova West Nova Current averages
43% 35% 35% 50% 42.1%
24% 43% 44% 28% 31.5%
28% 19% 18% 18% 22.1%
6% 3% 3% 4% 4.2%



Regional distribution - Seat projections


Halifax Cape Breton Central Nova West Nova Current averages
15.7 2.9 3.5 11.2 33.4
1.7 4.1 6.1 3.4 15.3
4.7 1.0 0.3 0.4 6.4
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 22 8 10 15 55









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