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338 Blog
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New brunswick
Electoral districts
All 49 electoral districts
Fredericton
St.John
Moncton
Acadia
Centre/Southwestern NB
Parties
PC
LIB
GRN
PANB
Map
Polls New Brunswick
Fredericton-York
MLA: Ryan P. Cullins (PC)
Latest projection: December 31, 2022
PC leaning
Fredericton-York
39% ± 7%
PC
32% ± 7%
GRN
13% ± 4%
PANB
12% ± 4%
LIB
4% ± 2%
NDP
PC 2020
42.4%
338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50%
100%
Fredericton-York
82%
PC
18%
GRN
Odds of winning | December 31, 2022
Popular vote projection | Fredericton-York
LIB 12% ± 4%
PC 39% ± 7%
NDP 4% ± 2%
GRN 32% ± 7%
PANB 13% ± 4%
Popular vote projection % | Fredericton-York
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2021►
2021-01-01
2021-04-01
2021-07-01
2021-10-01
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-04-01
2022-07-01
2022-10-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-04-01
2023-07-01
LIB
PC
NDP
GRN
PANB
Odds of winning | Fredericton-York
LIB <1%
PC 82%
GRN 18%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2021►
2021-01-01
2021-04-01
2021-07-01
2021-10-01
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-04-01
2022-07-01
2022-10-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-04-01
2023-07-01
LIB
PC
GRN
Recent electoral history | Fredericton-York
2018
2020
Proj.
PC
30.9%
42.4%
39% ± 7%
GRN
15.5%
24.0%
32% ± 7%
PANB
22.6%
22.6%
13% ± 4%
LIB
18.4%
9.9%
12% ± 4%
NDP
1.1%
0.8%
4% ± 2%