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Recent electoral history | Fredericton—Lincoln


2020 2024 Projection GRN 44% ± 8% 33.5% 44.5% PC 28% ± 6% 36.9% 28.1% LIB 27% ± 6% 21.8% 27.4%

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338Canada Fredericton—Lincoln projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Fredericton—Lincoln 36% 52% 44% ± 8% GRN 22% 34% 28% ± 6% PC 21% 34% 27% ± 6% LIB GRN 2024 44.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fredericton—Lincoln 99% GRN 1% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Fredericton—Lincoln

LIB 27% ± 6% PC 28% ± 6% GRN 44% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Fredericton—Lincoln 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC GRN December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 GRN 44% PC 28% LIB 27% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 GRN 44% PC 28% LIB 27% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Fredericton—Lincoln

LIB <1% PC 1% NDP <1% GRN 99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 GRN 99% PC 1% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 GRN 99% PC 1% LIB <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-20