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New brunswick


Fredericton-York


MLA: Ryan P. Cullins (PC)


Latest projection: December 31, 2022

PC leaning
Fredericton-York 39% ± 7% PC 32% ± 7% GRN 13% ± 4% PANB 12% ± 4% LIB 4% ± 2% NDP PC 2020 42.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50% 100% Fredericton-York 82% PC 18% GRN Odds of winning | December 31, 2022


Popular vote projection | Fredericton-York

LIB 12% ± 4% PC 39% ± 7% NDP 4% ± 2% GRN 32% ± 7% PANB 13% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Fredericton-York 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN PANB

Odds of winning | Fredericton-York

LIB <1% PC 82% GRN 18% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC GRN

Recent electoral history | Fredericton-York



2018 2020 Proj. PC 30.9% 42.4% 39% ± 7% GRN 15.5% 24.0% 32% ± 7% PANB 22.6% 22.6% 13% ± 4% LIB 18.4% 9.9% 12% ± 4% NDP 1.1% 0.8% 4% ± 2%