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New brunswick


Carleton


MLA: Bill Hogan (PC)


Latest projection: December 31, 2022

PC safe
Carleton 46% ± 8% PC 21% ± 6% LIB 15% ± 5% PANB 11% ± 4% GRN 6% ± 3% NDP PC 2020 47.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50% 100% Carleton >99% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | December 31, 2022


Popular vote projection | Carleton

LIB 21% ± 6% PC 46% ± 8% NDP 6% ± 3% GRN 11% ± 4% PANB 15% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Carleton 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN PANB

Odds of winning | Carleton

LIB <1% PC >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC

Recent electoral history | Carleton



2018 2020 Proj. PC 39.6% 47.9% 46% ± 8% PANB 25.8% 25.8% 15% ± 5% LIB 15.9% 16.8% 21% ± 6% GRN 16.6% 7.9% 11% ± 4% NDP 1.1% 1.1% 6% ± 3%