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New brunswick

Caraquet


MLA: (New boundaries)

Latest projection: September 2, 2023
LIB safe
Caraquet 74% ± 7%▲ 16% ± 5%▼ 10% ± 4% LIB 2020 72.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 2, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Caraquet >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | September 2, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Caraquet

LIB 74% ± 7% PC 10% ± 4% GRN 16% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Caraquet 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 LIB PC GRN

Odds of winning | Caraquet

LIB >99% PC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 LIB PC

Recent electoral history | Caraquet



2020 Proj. LIB 72.1% 74% ± 7% GRN 15.5% 16% ± 5% PC 12.4% 10% ± 4%
Note: Numbers on table above are the 2020 results transposed onto new electoral map.