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338 Blog
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New brunswick
Electoral districts
All 49 electoral districts
Fredericton
St.John
Moncton
Acadia
Centre/Southwestern NB
Parties
PC
LIB
GRN
PANB
Map
Polls New Brunswick
Fredericton-Grand Lake
MLA: Kris Austin (PC)
Latest projection: December 31, 2022
PC safe
Fredericton-Grand Lake
50% ± 8%
PC
18% ± 5%
GRN
14% ± 4%
PANB
12% ± 4%
LIB
6% ± 3%
NDP
PANB 2020
46.4%
338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50%
100%
Fredericton-Grand Lake
>99%
PC
<1%
GRN
Odds of winning | December 31, 2022
Popular vote projection | Fredericton-Grand Lake
LIB 12% ± 4%
PC 50% ± 8%
NDP 6% ± 3%
GRN 18% ± 5%
PANB 14% ± 4%
Popular vote projection % | Fredericton-Grand Lake
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2021►
2021-01-01
2021-04-01
2021-07-01
2021-10-01
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-04-01
2022-07-01
2022-10-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-04-01
2023-07-01
LIB
PC
NDP
GRN
PANB
Odds of winning | Fredericton-Grand Lake
LIB <1%
PC >99%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2021►
2021-01-01
2021-04-01
2021-07-01
2021-10-01
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-04-01
2022-07-01
2022-10-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-04-01
2023-07-01
LIB
PC
Recent electoral history | Fredericton-Grand Lake
2018
2020
Proj.
PANB
46.4%
46.4%
14% ± 4%
PC
27.7%
30.6%
50% ± 8%
GRN
5.4%
12.4%
18% ± 5%
LIB
10.9%
9.3%
12% ± 4%
NDP
1.3%
1.1%
6% ± 3%