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New brunswick


Fredericton-Grand Lake


MLA: Kris Austin (PC)


Latest projection: December 31, 2022

PC safe
Fredericton-Grand Lake 50% ± 8% PC 18% ± 5% GRN 14% ± 4% PANB 12% ± 4% LIB 6% ± 3% NDP PANB 2020 46.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50% 100% Fredericton-Grand Lake >99% PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 31, 2022


Popular vote projection | Fredericton-Grand Lake

LIB 12% ± 4% PC 50% ± 8% NDP 6% ± 3% GRN 18% ± 5% PANB 14% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Fredericton-Grand Lake 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN PANB

Odds of winning | Fredericton-Grand Lake

LIB <1% PC >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC

Recent electoral history | Fredericton-Grand Lake



2018 2020 Proj. PANB 46.4% 46.4% 14% ± 4% PC 27.7% 30.6% 50% ± 8% GRN 5.4% 12.4% 18% ± 5% LIB 10.9% 9.3% 12% ± 4% NDP 1.3% 1.1% 6% ± 3%