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New brunswick

Recent electoral history | Tantramar


2020 2024 Projection GRN 49% ± 9% 53.1% 48.9% LIB 25% ± 7% 19.1% 25.3% PC 23% ± 6% 24.2% 23.1% NDP 2% ± 1% 0.0% 1.7% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0%

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338Canada Tantramar projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Tantramar 40% 57% 49% ± 9% GRN 19% 32% 25% ± 7% LIB 17% 29% 23% ± 6% PC GRN 2024 48.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Tantramar >99% GRN <1% LIB <1% PC Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Tantramar

LIB 25% ± 7% PC 23% ± 6% GRN 49% ± 9% Popular vote projection % | Tantramar 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC GRN December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 GRN 49% LIB 25% PC 23% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 GRN 49% LIB 25% PC 23% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Tantramar

LIB <1% PC <1% NDP <1% GRN >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 GRN >99% LIB <1% PC <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 GRN >99% LIB <1% PC <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-20