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Recent electoral history | Moncton East


2020 2024 Projection LIB 60% ± 7% 39.6% 60.0% PC 26% ± 6% 34.7% 25.7% GRN 10% ± 4% 19.2% 9.9% NDP 4% ± 2% 2.1% 4.4%

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338Canada Moncton East projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Moncton East 53% 67% 60% ± 7% LIB 20% 32% 26% ± 6% PC 6% 13% 10% ± 4% GRN 2% 7% 4% ± 2% NDP LIB 2024 60.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Moncton East >99% LIB <1% PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Moncton East

LIB 60% ± 7% PC 26% ± 6% NDP 4% ± 2% GRN 10% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Moncton East 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 LIB 60% PC 26% GRN 10% NDP 4% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 LIB 60% PC 26% GRN 10% NDP 4% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Moncton East

LIB >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB NDP December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 LIB >99% NDP <1% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 LIB >99% NDP <1% 2025-12-20