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New brunswick

Moncton East


MLA: (New boundaries)

Latest projection: March 9, 2024
LIB likely
Moncton East 46% ± 8%▲ 28% ± 7%▼ 20% ± 6%▼ 4% ± 2%▲ LIB 2020 39.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Moncton East >99%▲ <1%▼ <1% Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Moncton East

LIB 46% ± 8% PC 28% ± 7% GRN 20% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Moncton East 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2024 LIB PC GRN

Odds of winning | Moncton East

LIB >99% PC <1% GRN <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2024 LIB PC GRN

Recent electoral history | Moncton East



2020 Proj. LIB 39.6% 46% ± 8% PC 34.7% 28% ± 7% GRN 19.2% 20% ± 6% PANB 4.4% 2% ± 1% NDP 2.1% 4% ± 2%
Note: Numbers on table above are the 2020 results transposed onto new electoral map.