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New brunswick


Moncton South


MLA: Greg Turner (PC)


Latest projection: December 31, 2022

LIB leaning
Moncton South 34% ± 8% LIB 30% ± 7% PC 20% ± 6% GRN 13% ± 5% NDP 2% ± 2% PANB PC 2020 42.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50% 100% Moncton South 76% LIB 23% PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 31, 2022


Popular vote projection | Moncton South

LIB 34% ± 8% PC 30% ± 7% NDP 13% ± 5% GRN 20% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Moncton South 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN

Odds of winning | Moncton South

LIB 76% PC 23% GRN <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC GRN

Recent electoral history | Moncton South



2018 2020 Proj. PC 32.0% 42.1% 30% ± 7% LIB 47.4% 30.3% 34% ± 8% GRN 9.6% 19.2% 20% ± 6% PANB 5.1% 5.1% 2% ± 2% NDP 3.8% 3.4% 13% ± 5%