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New brunswick

Miramichi Bay—Neguac


MLA: (New boundaries)

Latest projection: March 9, 2024
LIB safe
Miramichi Bay—Neguac 55% ± 8%▲ 24% ± 6%▼ 11% ± 4% 7% ± 3%▼ 3% ± 2%▲ LIB 2020 42.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Miramichi Bay—Neguac >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Miramichi Bay—Neguac

LIB 55% ± 8% PC 24% ± 6% GRN 11% ± 4% PANB 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Miramichi Bay—Neguac 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2024 LIB PC GRN PANB

Odds of winning | Miramichi Bay—Neguac

LIB >99% PC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2024 LIB PC

Recent electoral history | Miramichi Bay—Neguac



2020 Proj. LIB 42.8% 55% ± 8% PC 26.7% 24% ± 6% PANB 19.5% 7% ± 3% GRN 9.5% 11% ± 4% NDP 1.3% 3% ± 2%
Note: Numbers on table above are the 2020 results transposed onto new electoral map.