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New brunswick

Miramichi East


MLA: (New boundaries)

Latest projection: September 2, 2023
Toss up LIB/PC
Miramichi East 34% ± 7%▲ 32% ± 7%▲ 26% ± 6%▼ 5% ± 2% 3% ± 2%▲ PANB 2020 41.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 2, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Miramichi East 62%▲ 35%▲ 3%▼ Odds of winning | September 2, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Miramichi East

LIB 32% ± 7% PC 34% ± 7% GRN 5% ± 2% PANB 26% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Miramichi East 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 LIB PC GRN PANB

Odds of winning | Miramichi East

LIB 35% PC 62% PANB 3% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-06-01 2023-07-01 2023-08-01 2023-09-01 2023-10-01 2023-11-01 2023-12-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-02-01 2024-03-01 LIB PC PANB

Recent electoral history | Miramichi East



2020 Proj. PANB 41.3% 26% ± 6% PC 27.2% 34% ± 7% LIB 25.3% 32% ± 7% GRN 3.9% 5% ± 2% NDP 1.9% 3% ± 2%
Note: Numbers on table above are the 2020 results transposed onto new electoral map.