logo
New brunswick

Recent electoral history | Miramichi East


2020 2024 Projection PC 53% ± 8% 27.2% 50.8% LIB 42% ± 8% 25.3% 40.9% GRN 5% ± 2% 3.9% 5.0% PANB 0% ± 0% 41.3% 3.3%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


New Brunswick flag

338Canada Miramichi East projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Miramichi East 45% 60% 53% ± 8% PC 35% 50% 42% ± 8% LIB 3% 7% 5% ± 2% GRN PC 2024 50.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Miramichi East 92%▲ PC 8%▼ LIB <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Miramichi East

LIB 42% ± 8% PC 53% ± 8% GRN 5% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Miramichi East 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC GRN December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 PC 53% LIB 42% GRN 5% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 PC 53% LIB 42% GRN 5% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Miramichi East

LIB 8% PC 92% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC NDP December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 PC 91% LIB 9% NDP <1% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 PC 92% LIB 8% NDP <1% 2025-12-20