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Recent electoral history | Hanwell—New Maryland


2020 2024 Projection LIB 43% ± 7% 15.3% 42.8% PC 43% ± 7% 55.1% 42.1% GRN 11% ± 4% 17.6% 11.2% NDP 1% ± 1% 1.5% 1.3% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% PANB 0% ± 0% 10.5% 1.9%

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338Canada Hanwell—New Maryland projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Hanwell—New Maryland 37% 50% 43% ± 7% LIB 36% 50% 43% ± 7% PC 7% 15% 11% ± 4% GRN LIB 2024 42.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Hanwell—New Maryland 51%▼ LIB 49%▲ PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada New Brunswick Projection | Hanwell—New Maryland

Odds of winning | Hanwell—New Maryland