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New brunswick


Kent South


MLA: Benoit Bourque (LIB)


Latest projection: December 31, 2022

LIB safe
Kent South 62% ± 7% LIB 21% ± 6% PC 11% ± 4% GRN 5% ± 2% NDP LIB 2020 55.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50% 100% Kent South >99% LIB <1% PC Odds of winning | December 31, 2022


Popular vote projection | Kent South

LIB 62% ± 7% PC 21% ± 6% NDP 5% ± 2% GRN 11% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Kent South 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN

Odds of winning | Kent South

LIB >99% PC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC

Recent electoral history | Kent South



2018 2020 Proj. LIB 60.9% 55.2% 62% ± 7% PC 20.1% 30.2% 21% ± 6% GRN 14.2% 10.7% 11% ± 4% PANB 2.6% 2.6% 1% ± 1% NDP 4.7% 1.3% 5% ± 2%