Progressive Conservative Party
Last update: December 31, 2022
Leader | Blaine Higgs |
Popular vote in 2020 | 39.3% |
Current vote projection | 32.8% ± 4.9% |
Current number of MP's | 30 |
Current seat projection | 24 ± 6 |
Vote projection | December 31, 2022
Seat projection | December 31, 2022
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Progressive Conservative Party
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Albert | PC safe | >99% | |
2. | Rothesay | PC safe | >99% | |
3. | Carleton-York | PC safe | >99% | |
4. | Gagetown-Petitcodiac | PC safe | >99% | |
5. | Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West | PC safe | >99% | |
6. | Fredericton-Grand Lake | PC safe | >99% | |
7. | New Maryland-Sunbury | PC safe | >99% | |
8. | Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins | PC safe | >99% | |
9. | Kings Centre | PC safe | >99% | |
10. | Riverview | PC safe | >99% | |
11. | Hampton | PC safe | >99% | |
12. | Carleton | PC safe | >99% | |
13. | Saint Croix | PC safe | >99% | |
14. | Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin | PC safe | >99% | |
15. | Quispamsis | PC safe | >99% | |
16. | Fredericton West-Hanwell | PC likely | >99% | |
17. | Saint John Lancaster | PC likely | 97% | |
18. | Moncton Southwest | PC likely | 97% | |
19. | Saint John East | PC leaning | 90% | |
20. | Fredericton-York | PC leaning | 82% | |
21. | Portland-Simonds | PC leaning | 74% | |
22. | Miramichi Bay-Neguac | PC leaning | 71% | |
23. | Saint John Harbour | Toss up LIB/PC/GRN | 63% | |
24. | Miramichi | Toss up LIB/PC | 57% | |
25. | Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton | Toss up LIB/PC | 53% | |
26. | Moncton Northwest | Toss up LIB/PC | 50% | |
27. | Moncton South | LIB leaning | 23% | |
28. | Fredericton North | GRN leaning | 20% | |
29. | Moncton East | LIB leaning | 18% | |
30. | Carleton-Victoria | LIB leaning | 13% |
Rank | Electoral districts | Projection |
---|---|---|
1. | Albert | PC safe |
2. | Rothesay | PC safe |
3. | Carleton-York | PC safe |
4. | Gagetown-Petitcodiac | PC safe |
5. | Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West | PC safe |
6. | Fredericton-Grand Lake | PC safe |
7. | New Maryland-Sunbury | PC safe |
8. | Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins | PC safe |
9. | Kings Centre | PC safe |
10. | Riverview | PC safe |
11. | Hampton | PC safe |
12. | Carleton | PC safe |
13. | Saint Croix | PC safe |
14. | Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin | PC safe |
15. | Quispamsis | PC safe |
16. | Fredericton West-Hanwell | PC likely |
17. | Saint John Lancaster | PC likely |
18. | Moncton Southwest | PC likely |
19. | Saint John East | PC leaning |
20. | Fredericton-York | PC leaning |
21. | Portland-Simonds | PC leaning |
22. | Miramichi Bay-Neguac | PC leaning |
23. | Saint John Harbour | Toss up LIB/PC/GRN |
24. | Miramichi | Toss up LIB/PC |
25. | Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton | Toss up LIB/PC |
26. | Moncton Northwest | Toss up LIB/PC |
27. | Moncton South | LIB leaning |
28. | Fredericton North | GRN leaning |
29. | Moncton East | LIB leaning |
30. | Carleton-Victoria | LIB leaning |