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Last update: December 13, 2020
Leader | Blaine Higgs |
Popular vote in 2018 | 39.3% |
Current vote projection | 41.6% ± 6.2% |
Current number of MP's | 27 |
Current seat projection | 27 ± 2 |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Progressive Conservative Party
Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Quispamsis | PC safe | >99% | |
2. | Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West | PC safe | >99% | |
3. | Albert | PC safe | >99% | |
4. | Rothesay | PC safe | >99% | |
5. | Kings Centre | PC safe | >99% | |
6. | Hampton | PC safe | >99% | |
7. | Riverview | PC safe | >99% | |
8. | Gagetown-Petitcodiac | PC safe | >99% | |
9. | Carleton-York | PC safe | >99% | |
10. | New Maryland-Sunbury | PC safe | >99% | |
11. | Saint John East | PC safe | >99% | |
12. | Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins | PC safe | >99% | |
13. | Saint John Lancaster | PC safe | >99% | |
14. | Fredericton West-Hanwell | PC safe | >99% | |
15. | Moncton Southwest | PC safe | >99% | |
16. | Portland-Simonds | PC safe | >99% | |
17. | Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin | PC safe | >99% | |
18. | Carleton | PC safe | >99% | |
19. | Moncton Northwest | PC safe | >99% | |
20. | Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton | PC likely | >99% | |
21. | Saint Croix | PC likely | >99% | |
22. | Fredericton-York | PC likely | 99% | |
23. | Saint John Harbour | PC likely | 99% | |
24. | Moncton South | PC likely | 99% | |
25. | Moncton East | PC likely | 97% | |
26. | Carleton-Victoria | PC likely | 90% | |
27. | Fredericton North | PC leaning | 84% | |
28. | Miramichi Bay-Neguac | Toss up | 31% | |
29. | Fredericton-Grand Lake | PANB leaning | 17% | |
30. | Moncton Centre | Toss up | 9% | |
31. | Kent South | LIB likely | 1% | |
32. | Bathurst West-Beresford | LIB likely | 1% | |
33. | Shediac Bay-Dieppe | LIB likely | <1% |