338Canada.com - New Brunswick - Progressive Conservative Party





Last update: December 13, 2020

LeaderBlaine Higgs
Popular vote in 201839.3%
Current vote projection41.6% ± 6.2%
Current number of MP's27
Current seat projection27 ± 2



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Progressive Conservative Party



Rank Electoral districts Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Quispamsis PC safe >99%
2. Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West PC safe >99%
3. Albert PC safe >99%
4. Rothesay PC safe >99%
5. Kings Centre PC safe >99%
6. Hampton PC safe >99%
7. Riverview PC safe >99%
8. Gagetown-Petitcodiac PC safe >99%
9. Carleton-York PC safe >99%
10. New Maryland-Sunbury PC safe >99%
11. Saint John East PC safe >99%
12. Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins PC safe >99%
13. Saint John Lancaster PC safe >99%
14. Fredericton West-Hanwell PC safe >99%
15. Moncton Southwest PC safe >99%
16. Portland-Simonds PC safe >99%
17. Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin PC safe >99%
18. Carleton PC safe >99%
19. Moncton Northwest PC safe >99%
20. Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton PC likely >99%
21. Saint Croix PC likely >99%
22. Fredericton-York PC likely 99%
23. Saint John Harbour PC likely 99%
24. Moncton South PC likely 99%
25. Moncton East PC likely 97%
26. Carleton-Victoria PC likely 90%
27. Fredericton North PC leaning 84%
28. Miramichi Bay-Neguac Toss up 31%
29. Fredericton-Grand Lake PANB leaning 17%
30. Moncton Centre Toss up 9%
31. Kent South LIB likely 1%
32. Bathurst West-Beresford LIB likely 1%
33. Shediac Bay-Dieppe LIB likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Quispamsis PC safe
2. Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West PC safe
3. Albert PC safe
4. Rothesay PC safe
5. Kings Centre PC safe
6. Hampton PC safe
7. Riverview PC safe
8. Gagetown-Petitcodiac PC safe
9. Carleton-York PC safe
10. New Maryland-Sunbury PC safe
11. Saint John East PC safe
12. Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins PC safe
13. Saint John Lancaster PC safe
14. Fredericton West-Hanwell PC safe
15. Moncton Southwest PC safe
16. Portland-Simonds PC safe
17. Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin PC safe
18. Carleton PC safe
19. Moncton Northwest PC safe
20. Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton PC likely
21. Saint Croix PC likely
22. Fredericton-York PC likely
23. Saint John Harbour PC likely
24. Moncton South PC likely
25. Moncton East PC likely
26. Carleton-Victoria PC likely
27. Fredericton North PC leaning
28. Miramichi Bay-Neguac Toss up
29. Fredericton-Grand Lake PANB leaning
30. Moncton Centre Toss up
31. Kent South LIB likely
32. Bathurst West-Beresford LIB likely
33. Shediac Bay-Dieppe LIB likely