- 338 Home▼
- 338 New Brunswick
- 338 Blog
- New Brunswick districts▼
- Parties▼
- New Brunswick Map
- New Brunswick Polls
- 338 Pollster Ratings
- The Record So Far
- Methodology
- About 338
- Français
Last update: December 13, 2020
| Leader | Blaine Higgs |
| Popular vote in 2018 | 39.3% |
| Current vote projection | 41.6% ± 6.2% |
| Current number of MP's | 27 |
| Current seat projection | 27 ± 2 |
Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Progressive Conservative Party
| Rank | Electoral districts | Current party | Last projection | Odds of winning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Quispamsis | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 2. | Fundy-The Isles-Saint John West | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 3. | Albert | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 4. | Rothesay | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 5. | Kings Centre | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 6. | Hampton | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 7. | Riverview | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 8. | Gagetown-Petitcodiac | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 9. | Carleton-York | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 10. | New Maryland-Sunbury | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 11. | Saint John East | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 12. | Sussex-Fundy-St. Martins | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 13. | Saint John Lancaster | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 14. | Fredericton West-Hanwell | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 15. | Moncton Southwest | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 16. | Portland-Simonds | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 17. | Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 18. | Carleton | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 19. | Moncton Northwest | |
PC safe | >99% |
| 20. | Oromocto-Lincoln-Fredericton | |
PC likely | >99% |
| 21. | Saint Croix | |
PC likely | >99% |
| 22. | Fredericton-York | |
PC likely | 99% |
| 23. | Saint John Harbour | |
PC likely | 99% |
| 24. | Moncton South | |
PC likely | 99% |
| 25. | Moncton East | |
PC likely | 97% |
| 26. | Carleton-Victoria | |
PC likely | 90% |
| 27. | Fredericton North | |
PC leaning | 84% |
| 28. | Miramichi Bay-Neguac |  |
Toss up | 31% |
| 29. | Fredericton-Grand Lake |  |
PANB leaning | 17% |
| 30. | Moncton Centre | |
Toss up | 9% |
| 31. | Kent South | |
LIB likely | 1% |
| 32. | Bathurst West-Beresford | |
LIB likely | 1% |
| 33. | Shediac Bay-Dieppe | |
LIB likely | <1% |