Progressive Conservative Party
Last update: September 2, 2023
Leader | Blaine Higgs |
Popular vote in 2020 | 39.3% |
Current vote projection | 37.5% ± 5.2% |
Current number of MP's | 30 |
Current seat projection | 26 ± 5 |
Vote projection | September 2, 2023
Seat projection | September 2, 2023
Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Progressive Conservative Party
Rank | Electoral districts | 2020 winner (transposed onto new map) |
Last projection | Odds of winning |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville | PC safe | >99% | |
2. | Quispamsis | PC safe | >99% | |
3. | Albert—Riverview | PC safe | >99% | |
4. | Rothesay | PC safe | >99% | |
5. | Kings Centre | PC safe | >99% | |
6. | Hampton—Fundy—St. Martin’s | PC safe | >99% | |
7. | Carleton—York | PC safe | >99% | |
8. | Sussex—Three Rivers | PC safe | >99% | |
9. | Riverview | PC safe | >99% | |
10. | Arcadia—Butternut Valley—Maple Hills | PC safe | >99% | |
11. | Oromocto—Sunbury | PC safe | >99% | |
12. | Hanwell—New Maryland | PC safe | >99% | |
13. | Woodstock—Hartland | PC safe | >99% | |
14. | Saint Croix | PC safe | >99% | |
15. | Saint John West—Lancaster | PC safe | >99% | |
16. | Saint John East | PC safe | >99% | |
17. | Miramichi West | PC likely | >99% | |
18. | Saint John Portland—Simonds | PC likely | 99% | |
19. | Saint John Harbour | PC likely | 97% | |
20. | Fredericton—York | PC likely | 96% | |
21. | Moncton South | PC likely | 94% | |
22. | Fredericton—Grand Lake | PC likely | 93% | |
23. | Moncton Northwest | PC leaning | 86% | |
24. | Fredericton North | PC leaning | 74% | |
25. | Miramichi East | Toss up LIB/PC | 62% | |
26. | Moncton Centre | Toss up LIB/PC | 54% | |
27. | Fredericton—Lincoln | Toss up PC/GRN | 46% | |
28. | Carleton—Victoria | Toss up LIB/PC | 42% | |
29. | Fredericton South—Silverwood | Toss up PC/GRN | 35% | |
30. | Champdoré—Irishtown | LIB leaning | 13% | |
31. | Moncton East | LIB likely | 4% |