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Progressive Conservative Party

Latest update: December 20, 2025
LeaderBlaine Higgs
Popular vote in 202435.0%
Current vote projection35.7% ± 4.6%
Current number of MLA's16
Current seat projection17 ± 5

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Vote projection | December 20, 2025

25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 31.1% 35.7% ± 4.6% 2020 39.3% Max. 40.3% Probabilities % PC

Seat projection | December 20, 2025

7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 12 16 Max. 22 Majority 25 seats Probabilities % PC

List of favourable electoral districts | Progressive Conservative Party



Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Margaret Johnson
PC PC safe
2.
Richard Ames
PC PC safe
3. PC PC safe
4. PC PC safe
5. PC PC safe
6.
Mike Dawson
PC PC safe
7.
Sherry Wilson
PC PC safe
8. PC PC safe
9.
Mary E. Wilson
PC PC likely
10.
Kathy Brockus
PC PC likely
11.
Bill Oliver
PC PC likely
12.
Ryan Cullins
PC PC likely
13.
Michelle Conroy
PC PC likely
14.
Tammy Scott-Wallace
PC PC leaning
15.
Rob Weir
PC PC leaning
16.
Glen Savoie
PC Toss up LIB/PC
17. L Toss up LIB/PC
18.
Aaron Kennedy
L Toss up LIB/PC
19.
Tania Sodhi
L Toss up LIB/PC
20. L Toss up LIB/PC
21.
Alyson Townsend
L LIB leaning
22.
Kate Elman Wilcott
L LIB likely
23.
Sam Johnston
L LIB likely
24. L LIB likely
25. G GRN likely
26.
Luke Randall
L LIB likely
27.
Lyne Chantal Boudreau
L LIB likely
28.
Guy H. Arseneault
L LIB likely
29.
Claire Johnson
L LIB likely
30.
René Legacy
L LIB likely
31.
Megan Mitton
G GRN safe
32.
Rob McKee
L LIB safe