Progressive Conservative Party

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Progressive Conservative Party

Rank	Electoral districts	Current party	Last projection	Odds of winning
1.	Carleton—Victoria		PC safe	>99%
2.	Fundy—The Isles—Saint John Lorneville		PC safe	>99%
3.	Carleton—York		PC safe	>99%
4.	Miramichi West		PC safe	>99%
5.	Arcadia—Butternut Valley—Maple Hills		PC safe	>99%
6.	Fredericton—Grand Lake		PC safe	>99%
7.	Oromocto—Sunbury		PC safe	>99%
8.	Albert—Riverview		PC safe	>99%
9.	Woodstock—Hartland		PC safe	>99%
10.	Kings Centre		PC safe	>99%
11.	Saint Croix		PC safe	>99%
12.	Fredericton—York		PC safe	>99%
13.	Miramichi East		PC likely	99%
14.	Sussex—Three Rivers		PC likely	94%
15.	Riverview		PC leaning	89%
16.	Saint John East		Toss up LIB/PC	55%
17.	Hanwell—New Maryland		Toss up LIB/PC	44%
18.	Quispamsis		LIB leaning	29%
19.	Moncton Northwest		LIB leaning	25%
20.	Hampton—Fundy—St. Martin’s		LIB leaning	23%
21.	Rothesay		LIB likely	2%
22.	Saint John West—Lancaster		LIB likely	1%