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Recent electoral history | Saint John East


2020 2024 Projection PC 45% ± 7% 55.5% 43.6% LIB 44% ± 7% 25.2% 43.1% GRN 7% ± 3% 7.7% 7.0% NDP 4% ± 2% 3.6% 3.5% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% PANB 0% ± 0% 7.7% 1.6%

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338Canada Saint John East projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Saint John East 37% 52% 45% ± 7% PC 36% 51% 44% ± 7% LIB 4% 10% 7% ± 3% GRN 2% 6% 4% ± 2% NDP PC 2024 43.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint John East 54%▲ PC 46%▼ LIB <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada New Brunswick Projection | Saint John East

Odds of winning | Saint John East