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Recent electoral history | Saint John East


2020 2024 Projection PC 45% ± 7% 55.5% 43.6% LIB 44% ± 7% 25.2% 43.1% GRN 7% ± 3% 7.7% 7.0% NDP 4% ± 2% 3.6% 3.5% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% PANB 0% ± 0% 7.7% 1.6%

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338Canada Saint John East projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Saint John East 37% 52% 45% ± 7% PC 36% 51% 44% ± 7% LIB 4% 10% 7% ± 3% GRN 2% 6% 4% ± 2% NDP PC 2024 43.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saint John East 54%▲ PC 46%▼ LIB <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Saint John East

LIB 44% ± 7% PC 45% ± 7% NDP 4% ± 2% GRN 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Saint John East 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 PC 44% LIB 44% GRN 7% NDP 4% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 PC 45% LIB 44% GRN 7% NDP 4% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Saint John East

LIB 46% PC 54% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC NDP December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 PC 53% LIB 47% NDP <1% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 PC 54% LIB 46% NDP <1% 2025-12-20