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New brunswick
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All 49 electoral districts
Fredericton
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Centre/Southwestern NB
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Polls New Brunswick
Saint John Lancaster
MLA: Dorothy Shephard (PC)
Latest projection: December 31, 2022
PC likely
Saint John Lancaster
40% ± 8%
PC
27% ± 7%
LIB
17% ± 5%
GRN
13% ± 5%
NDP
3% ± 2%
PANB
PC 2020
54.2%
338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50%
100%
Saint John Lancaster
97%
PC
3%
LIB
Odds of winning | December 31, 2022
Popular vote projection | Saint John Lancaster
LIB 27% ± 7%
PC 40% ± 8%
NDP 13% ± 5%
GRN 17% ± 5%
Popular vote projection % | Saint John Lancaster
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2021►
2021-01-01
2021-04-01
2021-07-01
2021-10-01
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-04-01
2022-07-01
2022-10-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-04-01
2023-07-01
LIB
PC
NDP
GRN
Odds of winning | Saint John Lancaster
LIB 3%
PC 97%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2021►
2021-01-01
2021-04-01
2021-07-01
2021-10-01
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-04-01
2022-07-01
2022-10-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-04-01
2023-07-01
LIB
PC
Recent electoral history | Saint John Lancaster
2018
2020
Proj.
PC
45.2%
54.2%
40% ± 8%
LIB
26.0%
22.4%
27% ± 7%
GRN
8.8%
14.3%
17% ± 5%
PANB
6.0%
6.0%
3% ± 2%
NDP
6.2%
3.1%
13% ± 5%