logo
logo
New brunswick


Saint John Lancaster


MLA: Dorothy Shephard (PC)


Latest projection: December 31, 2022

PC likely
Saint John Lancaster 40% ± 8% PC 27% ± 7% LIB 17% ± 5% GRN 13% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 2% PANB PC 2020 54.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50% 100% Saint John Lancaster 97% PC 3% LIB Odds of winning | December 31, 2022


Popular vote projection | Saint John Lancaster

LIB 27% ± 7% PC 40% ± 8% NDP 13% ± 5% GRN 17% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Saint John Lancaster 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN

Odds of winning | Saint John Lancaster

LIB 3% PC 97% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC

Recent electoral history | Saint John Lancaster



2018 2020 Proj. PC 45.2% 54.2% 40% ± 8% LIB 26.0% 22.4% 27% ± 7% GRN 8.8% 14.3% 17% ± 5% PANB 6.0% 6.0% 3% ± 2% NDP 6.2% 3.1% 13% ± 5%