logo
logo
New brunswick


Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin


MLA: Mike Dawson (PC)


Latest projection: December 31, 2022

PC safe
Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin 56% ± 8% PC 29% ± 7% LIB 7% ± 3% GRN 6% ± 2% PANB 2% ± 1% NDP PC 2020 48.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50% 100% Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin >99% PC <1% LIB Odds of winning | December 31, 2022


Popular vote projection | Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin

LIB 29% ± 7% PC 56% ± 8% GRN 7% ± 3% PANB 6% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC GRN PANB

Odds of winning | Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin

LIB <1% PC >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC

Recent electoral history | Southwest Miramichi-Bay du Vin



2018 2020 Proj. PC 35.4% 48.0% 56% ± 8% PANB 28.0% 28.0% 6% ± 2% LIB 22.8% 21.7% 29% ± 7% NDP 1.2% 2.3% 2% ± 1% GRN 5.3% 0.0% 7% ± 3%