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Recent electoral history | Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin


2020 2024 Projection LIB 62% ± 7% 55.7% 62.1% PC 31% ± 7% 27.5% 31.1% GRN 7% ± 3% 13.0% 6.7%

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338Canada Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin 55% 69% 62% ± 7% LIB 25% 38% 31% ± 7% PC 4% 9% 7% ± 3% GRN LIB 2024 62.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin >99% LIB <1% PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin

LIB 62% ± 7% PC 31% ± 7% GRN 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB PC GRN December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 LIB 62% PC 31% GRN 7% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 LIB 62% PC 31% GRN 7% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin

LIB >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 LIB NDP December 20, 2025 2025-10-25 LIB >99% NDP <1% 2025-10-25 2025-12-20 LIB >99% NDP <1% 2025-12-20