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Recent electoral history | Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin


2020 2024 Projection LIB 62% ± 7% 55.7% 62.1% PC 31% ± 7% 27.5% 31.1% GRN 7% ± 3% 13.0% 6.7%

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338Canada Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin 55% 69% 62% ± 7% LIB 25% 38% 31% ± 7% PC 4% 9% 7% ± 3% GRN LIB 2024 62.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin >99% LIB <1% PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada New Brunswick Projection | Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin

Odds of winning | Grand Falls—Vallée-des-Rivières—Saint-Quentin