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New brunswick

Woodstock—Hartland


Latest projection: March 9, 2024
PC safe
Woodstock—Hartland 51% ± 8% PC 25% ± 6%▲ LIB 11% ± 4%▼ PANB 11% ± 4%▲ GRN 3% ± 2%▲ NDP PC 2020 49.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Woodstock—Hartland >99% PC <1% LIB <1% PANB Odds of winning | March 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Woodstock—Hartland

LIB 25% ± 6% PC 51% ± 8% GRN 11% ± 4% PANB 11% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Woodstock—Hartland 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2024 LIB PC GRN PANB

Odds of winning | Woodstock—Hartland

LIB <1% PC >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 2023-11-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 Election 2024 LIB PC

Recent electoral history | Woodstock—Hartland



2020 Proj. PC 49.2% 51% ± 8% PANB 25.0% 11% ± 4% LIB 16.3% 25% ± 6% GRN 7.9% 11% ± 4% NDP 1.1% 3% ± 2%
Note: Numbers on table above are the 2020 results transposed onto new electoral map.