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New brunswick


Carleton-York


MLA: Richard Ames (PC)


Latest projection: December 31, 2022

PC safe
Carleton-York 53% ± 8% PC 15% ± 5% GRN 14% ± 4% LIB 11% ± 4% PANB 7% ± 3% NDP PC 2020 57.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50% 100% Carleton-York >99% PC <1% GRN Odds of winning | December 31, 2022


Popular vote projection | Carleton-York

LIB 14% ± 4% PC 53% ± 8% NDP 7% ± 3% GRN 15% ± 5% PANB 11% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Carleton-York 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC NDP GRN PANB

Odds of winning | Carleton-York

LIB <1% PC >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-04-01 2021-07-01 2021-10-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 LIB PC

Recent electoral history | Carleton-York



2018 2020 Proj. PC 37.2% 57.8% 53% ± 8% PANB 18.6% 18.6% 11% ± 4% LIB 18.5% 11.4% 14% ± 4% GRN 10.0% 10.8% 15% ± 5% NDP 3.0% 1.3% 7% ± 3%