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New brunswick
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Fredericton
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Centre/Southwestern NB
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Polls New Brunswick
Carleton-York
MLA: Richard Ames (PC)
Latest projection: December 31, 2022
PC safe
Carleton-York
53% ± 8%
PC
15% ± 5%
GRN
14% ± 4%
LIB
11% ± 4%
PANB
7% ± 3%
NDP
PC 2020
57.8%
338Canada Popular vote projection | December 31, 2022
50%
100%
Carleton-York
>99%
PC
<1%
GRN
Odds of winning | December 31, 2022
Popular vote projection | Carleton-York
LIB 14% ± 4%
PC 53% ± 8%
NDP 7% ± 3%
GRN 15% ± 5%
PANB 11% ± 4%
Popular vote projection % | Carleton-York
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2021►
2021-01-01
2021-04-01
2021-07-01
2021-10-01
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-04-01
2022-07-01
2022-10-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-04-01
2023-07-01
LIB
PC
NDP
GRN
PANB
Odds of winning | Carleton-York
LIB <1%
PC >99%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2021►
2021-01-01
2021-04-01
2021-07-01
2021-10-01
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-04-01
2022-07-01
2022-10-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-04-01
2023-07-01
LIB
PC
Recent electoral history | Carleton-York
2018
2020
Proj.
PC
37.2%
57.8%
53% ± 8%
PANB
18.6%
18.6%
11% ± 4%
LIB
18.5%
11.4%
14% ± 4%
GRN
10.0%
10.8%
15% ± 5%
NDP
3.0%
1.3%
7% ± 3%